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Technology Persistence and Monetary Policy

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  • Pancrazi, Roberto

    (Department of Economics, University of Warwick)

  • Vukotic, Marija

    (Department of Economics, University of Warwick)

Abstract

In this paper, by using several statistical tools, we provide evidence of increased persistence of the U.S. total factor productivity. In a forward-looking model, agents’ optimal behavior depends on the autocorrelation structure of the exogenous shocks. Since many monetary models are driven by exogenous technology shocks, we study the implications of a change in technology persistence on monetary policy using a New Keynesian framework. First, we analytically derive the interaction between the TFP persistence, monetary policy parameters, and output gap and inflation. Second, we show that change in the TFP persistence a¤ects the optimal behavior of monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Pancrazi, Roberto & Vukotic, Marija, 2013. "Technology Persistence and Monetary Policy," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1013, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:wrk:warwec:1013
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    Cited by:

    1. Pancrazi, Roberto, 2015. "The heterogeneous Great Moderation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 207-228.
    2. Pancrazi, Roberto, 2014. "How beneficial was the Great Moderation after all?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 73-90.
    3. Marta Arespa & Diego Gruber, 2016. "Product Quality and International Price Dynamics," UB School of Economics Working Papers 2016/340, University of Barcelona School of Economics.
    4. Curatola, Giuliano & Donadelli, Michael & Grüning, Patrick, 2015. "Matching the BRIC equity premium: A structural approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 65-75.
    5. Alali, Walid Y. & Ellalee, Haider, 2018. "The Brexit Impact on Inward FDI in the UK," EconStor Preprints 274655, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    6. Michael Donadelli & Vahid Mojtahed & Antonio Paradiso, 2015. "Technological Progress, Investment Frictions and Business Cycle: New Insights from a Neoclassical Growth Model," Working Papers LuissLab 15119, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
    7. Ellalee, Haider & Alali, Walid Y., 2018. "The Brexit Impact on Inward FDI in the UK," MPRA Paper 117510, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 May 2018.
    8. Philip Arestis & Michail Karoglou & Kostas Mouratidis, 2016. "Monetary Policy Preferences of the EMU and the UK," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 84(4), pages 528-550, July.

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