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Impact of rising rice prices and policy responses in Mali : simulations with a dynamic CGE model

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  • Nouve, Kofi
  • Wodon, Quentin

Abstract

The increase in the international price of rice is likely to have substantial negative impacts on the poor in countries such as Mali which are net importers of rice. This paper relies on a dynamic CGE model to estimate the likely impact of the recent increase in rice prices on poverty with and without policy responses. Two sets of policy responses are considered: import tax cuts on rice and measures to increase productivity of domestic rice production. The results suggest that an increase in productivity would have a much larger positive impact than a reduction in taxes.

Suggested Citation

  • Nouve, Kofi & Wodon, Quentin, 2008. "Impact of rising rice prices and policy responses in Mali : simulations with a dynamic CGE model," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4739, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:4739
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    Cited by:

    1. Yu, T. Edward & Tokgoz, Simla & Wailes, Eric & Chavez, Eddie C., 2017. "A quantitative analysis of trade policy responses to higher world agricultural commodity prices:," IFPRI book chapters, in: Bouët, Antoine & Laborde Debucquet, David (ed.), Agriculture, development, and the global trading system: 2000– 2015, chapter 11, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Fan Yang & Eddy Bekkers & Martina Brockmeier & Joseph Francois, 2015. "Food Price Pass‐Through and the Role of Domestic Margin Services," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(3), pages 796-811, September.
    3. Yu, Tun-Hsiang (Edward) & Tokgoz, Simla & Wailes, Eric J. & Chavez, Eddie C., 2009. "A Quantitative Analysis of Trade Policy Responses to High Agricultural Commodity Prices," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 51805, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Prospère Backiny-Yetna & Franck Adoho & Issa Bouaré & Virginie Briand & Kassim Dabitao & Assa Gakou & Estelle Sommeiller & Dramane Traoré & Clarence Tsimpo & Quentin Wodon, 2009. "Tendance, profil et déterminants de la pauvreté au Mali de 2001 à 2006," Perspective Afrique, Association Africaine pour les Sciences sociales, vol. 4(1-3), pages 1-24.
    5. Haggblade, Steven & Me-Nsope, Nathalie M. & Staatz, John M., 2017. "Food security implications of staple food substitution in Sahelian West Africa," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 27-38.
    6. Sun, Ting-Ting & Su, Chi-Wei & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "How does trade policy uncertainty affect agriculture commodity prices?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    7. repec:wbk:wbpubs:13081 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Joseph, George & Wodon, Quentin, 2008. "Assessing the potential impact on poverty of rising cereals prices : the case of Mali," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4744, The World Bank.
    9. Cherrier, Cecile & Ninno, Carlo del & Razmara, Setareh, 2011. "Mali social safety nets," Social Protection Discussion Papers and Notes 89188, The World Bank.
    10. Me-Nsope, Nathalie M. & Staatz, John M., 2016. "Household-Level Evidence of Cereals Demand and the Welfare Implications of Cereals Price Shocks in Rural and Urban Mali," 2016 Fifth International Conference, September 23-26, 2016, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 246397, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    11. Fuje,Habtamu Neda & Pullabhotla,Hemant Kumar, 2020. "Impact of Grain Trade Policies on Prices and Welfare : Evidence from Malawi," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9436, The World Bank.
    12. Quentin Wodon, 2012. "Improving the Targeting of Social Programs in Ghana," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 13082.
    13. Liao, Mei & Yang, Weiwei & Liu, Huizheng, 2010. "Benchmarking the Synergistic Effect of China-ASEAN Seaport," Conference papers 331973, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

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    Keywords

    Economic Theory&Research; Markets and Market Access; Food&Beverage Industry; Rural Poverty Reduction; Crops&Crop Management Systems;
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