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Domestic Investment, Export, Import and Economic Growth in Brazil: An Application of Vector Error Correction Model

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  • Bakari, Sayef
  • Fakraoui, Nissar
  • Sofien, Tiba

Abstract

This paper aims to investigate the nexus between domestic investment, exports, imports, and economic growth for the Brazilian economy during the period 1970-2017, using the VECM methodology. In the short-run, our empirical results pointed out that import, exports, and domestic investment cause economic growth. Also, economic growth causes exports. Exports, imports, and economic growth cause domestic investment. However, in the long-run, our results revealed that domestic investment and exports have a positive effect on economic growth. Also, imports have a negative effect on economic growth. The results recorded a positive impact of economic growth and imports on domestic investment. Exports have a negative effect on domestic investment. Finally, we record the absence of significant impact of economic growth, exports and domestic investment on imports, and economic growth, domestic investment, and imports on exports. Due to the importance of these aspects to the economic performance of Brazil, the policymakers are invited to orient these issues towards the sustainability facets to guarantee a sustained growth path.

Suggested Citation

  • Bakari, Sayef & Fakraoui, Nissar & Sofien, Tiba, 2019. "Domestic Investment, Export, Import and Economic Growth in Brazil: An Application of Vector Error Correction Model," MPRA Paper 95474, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:95474
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sayef Bakari & Sofien Tiba, 2019. "The Impact of Trade Openness, Foreign Direct Investment and Domestic Investment on Economic Growth: New Evidence from Asian Developing Countries," Economic Research Guardian, Weissberg Publishing, vol. 9(1), pages 46-54, June.
    2. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    3. Sayef Bakaria, 2019. "If France Continues This Strategy, Taxes Will Destroy Domestic Investment And Economic Growth," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 4(1), pages 31-45, Mars.
    4. Nissar Fakraoui & Sayef Bakari, 2019. "Tie Among Domestic Investment, Exports And Economic Growth: Empirical Analysis From India," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 4(1), pages 1-15, Mars.
    5. Sayef Bakari, 2017. "The Long Run and Short Run Impacts of Exports on Economic Growth: Evidence from Gabon," Economic Research Guardian, Weissberg Publishing, vol. 7(1), pages 40-57, June.
    6. Sayef Bakari & Mohamed Mabrouki & Abdelhafidh Othmani, 2018. "The Six Linkages Between Foreign Direct Investment, Domestic Investment, Exports, Imports, Labor Force And Economic Growth: New Empirical And Policy Analysis From Nigeria," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 3(1), pages 25-43, Juin.
    7. Najeh Bouchoucha & Sayef Bakari, 2021. "The Impacts Of Domestic And Foreign Direct Investments On Economic Growth: Fresh Evidence From Tunisia," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 6(1), pages 83-102, Mars.
    8. Sayef Bakari, 2017. "Appraisal of Trade Potency on Economic Growth in Sudan: New Empirical and Policy Analysis," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(4), pages 213-225, December.
    9. Tiba, Sofien & Frikha, Mohamed, 2019. "The controversy of the resource curse and the environment in the SDGs background: The African context," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 437-452.
    10. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    11. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    12. Strike Mbulawa, 2017. "The Impact Of Economic Infrastructure On Long Term Economic Growth In Botswana," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 2(1), pages 15-33, March.
    13. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    14. Sayef Bakari, 2017. "The Relationship between Export, Import, Domestic Investment and Economic Growth in Egypt: Empirical Analysis," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 2(36), pages 34-43, November.
    15. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
    16. Bakari, Sayef, 2018. "The Impact of Domestic Investment on Economic Growth New Policy Analysis from Algeria," Bulletin of Economic Theory and Analysis, BETA Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 35-51, March.
    17. Sayef Bakari & Mohamed Mabrouki, 2017. "The Effect Of Agricultural Exports On Economic Growth In South-Eastern Europe: An Empirical Investigation Using Panel Data," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 2(4), pages 49-64, December.
    18. Sayef Bakari, 2017. "Appraisal of Trade Potency on Economic Growth in Sudan: New Empirical and Policy Analysis," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(4), pages 213-225.
    19. Sayef Bakari, 2017. "The Impact Of Domestic Investment On Economic Growth: New Evidence From Malaysia," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 2(2), pages 105-121, September.
    20. Bakari, Sayef, 2017. "The Nexus between Export, Import, Domestic Investment and Economic Growth in Japan," MPRA Paper 76110, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Dwi Kartikasari, 2017. "The Effect of Export, Import and Investment to Economic Growth of Riau Islands Indonesia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 663-667.
    22. Sayef Bakari & Mohamed Mabrouki, 2017. "Impact Of Exports And Imports On Economic Growth: New Evidence From Panama," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 2(1), pages 67-79, March.
    23. Chor Foon Tang & Eu Chye Tan, 2015. "The Relative Contributions Of Domestic And Foreign Direct Investments And Exports To Malaysia'S Economic Growth," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 60(02), pages 1-20.
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    1. Ben Yedder, Nadia & El Weriemmi, Malek & Bakari, Sayef, 2023. "The nexus between domestic investment and economic growth in MENA countries; Do Patents matter?," MPRA Paper 118174, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Sayef Bakari & Sofien Tiba, 2022. "Agricultural Exports, Agricultural Imports And Economic Growth In China," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 7(3), pages 35-61, September.
    3. Mindaugas Butkus & Diana Cibulskiene & Lina Garsviene & Janina Seputiene, 2021. "Empirical Evidence on Factors Conditioning the Turning Point of the Public Debt–Growth Relationship," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-22, December.
    4. Bakari, Sayef & Fakraoui, Nissar & Mabrouki, Mohamed, 2020. "The Contribution of Domestic Investment, Exports and Imports on Economic Growth: A Case Study of Peru," MPRA Paper 99041, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Sayef Bakari & Sofien Tiba & Nissar Fakraoui, 2019. "Does Domestic Investment Contribute To Economic Growth In Uruguay? What Did The Empirical Facts Say?," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 4(2), pages 53-69, September.
    6. Bakari, Sayef, 2022. "The Nexus between Domestic Investment and Economic Growth in Developed Countries: Do Exports matter?," MPRA Paper 114394, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Bakari, Sayef, 2024. "The Role of Digitalization, Natural Resources, and Trade Openness in Driving Economic Growth: Fresh Insights from East Asia-Pacific Countries," MPRA Paper 121643, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Bakari, Sayef & El Weriemmi, Malek, 2022. "Exploring the Impact of Agricultural Investment on Economic Growth in France," MPRA Paper 113970, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Najwa AKERMI & Nadia Ben YEDDER & Sayef BAKARI, 2024. "Impact of final consumption, domestic investment, exports, and imports on economic growth in Albania," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(638), S), pages 231-252, Spring.
    10. Bakari, Sayef & El Weriemmi, Malek & Mabrouki, Mohamed, 2022. "The Impact of Digitalization and Trade Openness on Economic Growth: New Evidence from Richest Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 113816, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. El Weriemmi, Malek & Bakari, Sayef, 2024. "The Impact of CO2 Emissions, Domestic Investment and Trade Openness on Economic Growth: New Evidence from North African Countries," MPRA Paper 122152, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Bakari, Sayef, 2022. "The Impact of Natural resources, CO2 Emission, Energy use, Domestic Investment, Innovation, Trade and Digitalization on Economic growth: Evidence from 52 African Countries," MPRA Paper 114323, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Bakari, Sayef, 2022. "Relationship among Domestic Investment, Exports and Economic Growth: Evidence form the Case of Greece," MPRA Paper 114418, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Deimante Blavasciunaite & Lina Garsviene & Kristina Matuzeviciute, 2020. "Trade Balance Effects on Economic Growth: Evidence from European Union Countries," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-15, July.
    15. Bolor Khurelchuluun & Liang Cao & Wenshou Yan, 2023. "The Impact of Trade Openness on Economic Growth in Landlocked Developing Countries," International Journal of Science and Business, IJSAB International, vol. 28(1), pages 84-97.
    16. Bakari, Sayef, 2021. "Reinvest the relationship between exports and economic growth in African countries: New insights from innovative econometric methods," MPRA Paper 108785, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Bakari, Sayef, 2024. "Causality between Domestic Investment and Economic Growth: New Evidence from Argentina," MPRA Paper 121799, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Export; Import; Domestic Investment; Economic Growth; VECM; Brazil.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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