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Testing for Volatility Co-movement in Bivariate Stochastic Volatility Models

Author

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  • Chen, J.
  • Kobayashi, M.
  • McAleer, M.J.

Abstract

The paper considers the problem of volatility co-movement, namely as to whether two financial returns have perfectly correlated common volatility process, in the framework of multivariate stochastic volatility models and proposes a test which checks the volatility co-movement. The proposed test is a stochastic volatility version of the co-movement test proposed by Engle and Susmel (1993), who investigated whether international equity markets have volatility co-movement using the framework of the ARCH model. In empirical analysis we found that volatility co-movement exists among closelylinked stock markets and that volatility co-movement of the exchange rate markets tends to be found when the overall volatility level is low, which is contrasting to the often-cited finding in the financial contagion literature that financial returns have co-movement in the level during the financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, J. & Kobayashi, M. & McAleer, M.J., 2017. "Testing for Volatility Co-movement in Bivariate Stochastic Volatility Models," Econometric Institute Research Papers TI 2017-022/III, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:ems:eureir:99788
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Jun Yu, 2006. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility," Microeconomics Working Papers 22058, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    2. Masaru Chiba & Masahito Kobayashi, 2013. "Testing for a Single-Factor Stochastic Volatility in Bivariate Series," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-31, December.
    3. Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Jun Yu, 2006. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility: A Review," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2-3), pages 145-175.
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    Cited by:

    1. María Nieves López-García & Miguel Angel Sánchez-Granero & Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia & Antonio Manuel Puertas & Francisco Javier De las Nieves, 2021. "Volatility Co-Movement in Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-19, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Lagrange multiplier test; Volatility co-movement; Stock markets; Exchange rate Markets; Financial crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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