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Firms, Failures, and Fluctuations: The Macroeconomics of Supply Chain Disruptions

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  • Acemoglu, Daron
  • Tahbaz-Salehi, Alireza

Abstract

This paper studies how firm failures and the resulting disruptions to supply chains can amplify negative shocks. We develop a non-competitive model where customized supplier-customer relations increase productivity, and the relationship-specific surplus generated between firms and their suppliers is divided via bargaining. Changes in productivity alter the distribution of surplus throughout the economy and determine which firms are at the margin of failure. A firm’s failure may spread to its suppliers and customers and to firms in other parts of the production network. We provide existence, uniqueness, and a series of comparative statics results, and show how the response of the equilibrium production network may propagate recessionary shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Acemoglu, Daron & Tahbaz-Salehi, Alireza, 2020. "Firms, Failures, and Fluctuations: The Macroeconomics of Supply Chain Disruptions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15074, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:15074
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vasco M Carvalho & Makoto Nirei & Yukiko U Saito & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, 0. "Supply Chain Disruptions: Evidence from the Great East Japan Earthquake," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 136(2), pages 1255-1321.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Amplification; Bargaining; Business cycles; Economic fluctuations; Production networks; Relationship-specific surplus; Supply chains;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D57 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Input-Output Tables and Analysis
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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