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Economic Recovery and Policy Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Scott R. Baker
  • Nick Bloom
  • Steven J. Davis
  • John Van Reenen

Abstract

Until some political mechanism creates incentives to elect moderate representatives who can reach across the ideological divide, the US seems destined to heightened levels of policy uncertainty for many years to come. Some research suggests that such uncertainty, particularly over economic policy, partly explains the sluggish nature of the recovery in America - and - according to one recent study, restoring policy uncertainty to levels that prevailed before the financial crisis would raise employment by an estimated 2.3 million over 18-24 months.

Suggested Citation

  • Scott R. Baker & Nick Bloom & Steven J. Davis & John Van Reenen, 2012. "Economic Recovery and Policy Uncertainty," CEP US Election Analysis Papers 002, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
  • Handle: RePEc:cep:cepusa:002
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    Keywords

    US Elections; uncertainty; recession;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • N0 - Economic History - - General

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