IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/comgts/v20y2023i1d10.1007_s10287-023-00467-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Complementarity formulation of games with random payoffs

Author

Listed:
  • Rossana Riccardi

    (University of Brescia)

  • Giorgia Oggioni

    (University of Brescia)

  • Elisabetta Allevi

    (University of Brescia)

  • Abdel Lisser

    (Université Paris-Saclay)

Abstract

We consider an n-player non-cooperative game where the payoff function of each player follows a multivariate distribution. This formulation is adopted to model a zonal electricity market in which generators operate by running conventional and renewable-based plants. The players in the market compete as in a Cournot model. We formulate this problem as a chance-constrained game by defining the payoff function of each player using a chance constraint. A full empirical analysis has been conducted on the Italian electricity market to test the impact of renewable generators in the light of decarbonization of the market and the impact of the volatility of the cost of conventional plants, mainly related to the volatility of gas prices. We finally test the robustness of the chance constraint formulation with an out of sample analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Rossana Riccardi & Giorgia Oggioni & Elisabetta Allevi & Abdel Lisser, 2023. "Complementarity formulation of games with random payoffs," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-32, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:comgts:v:20:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s10287-023-00467-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s10287-023-00467-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10287-023-00467-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10287-023-00467-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Genc, Talat S. & Reynolds, Stanley S. & Sen, Suvrajeet, 2007. "Dynamic oligopolistic games under uncertainty: A stochastic programming approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 55-80, January.
    2. Bert Willems, 2002. "Modeling Cournot Competition in an Electricity Market with Transmission Constraints," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3), pages 95-125.
    3. WEI, Jing-Yuan & SMEERS, Yves, 1999. "Spatial oligopolistic electricity models with Cournot generators and regulated transmission prices," LIDAM Reprints CORE 1454, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    4. Gabriel, Steven A. & Zhuang, Jifang & Egging, Ruud, 2009. "Solving stochastic complementarity problems in energy market modeling using scenario reduction," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 197(3), pages 1028-1040, September.
    5. Hoang Nam Nguyen & Abdel Lisser & Vikas Vikram Singh, 2022. "Random Games Under Elliptically Distributed Dependent Joint Chance Constraints," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 195(1), pages 249-264, October.
    6. Vikas Vikram Singh & Abdel Lisser, 2018. "Variational inequality formulation for the games with random payoffs," Journal of Global Optimization, Springer, vol. 72(4), pages 743-760, December.
    7. Farzad Hassanzadeh Moghimi & Yihsu Chen & Afzal S. Siddiqui, 2023. "Flexible supply meets flexible demand: prosumer impact on strategic hydro operations," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-35, December.
    8. Tanaka, Makoto, 2009. "Transmission-constrained oligopoly in the Japanese electricity market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 690-701, September.
    9. De Wolf, D. & Smeers, Y., 1997. "A stochastic version of a Stackelberg-Nash-Cournot equilibrium model," LIDAM Reprints CORE 1257, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    10. Daniel De Wolf & Yves Smeers, 1997. "A Stochastic Version of a Stackelberg-Nash-Cournot Equilibrium Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(2), pages 190-197, February.
    11. Giorgia Oggioni and Yves Smeers, 2012. "Degrees of Coordination in Market Coupling and Counter-Trading," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    12. Morales, Juan M. & Pineda, Salvador, 2017. "On the inefficiency of the merit order in forward electricity markets with uncertain supply," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 261(2), pages 789-799.
    13. Paul J. Burke and Ashani Abayasekara, 2018. "The Price Elasticity of Electricity Demand in the United States: A Three-Dimensional Analysis," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
    14. Lanot, Gauthier & Vesterberg, Mattias, 2021. "The price elasticity of electricity demand when marginal incentives are very large," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    15. R. G. Cassidy & C. A. Field & M. J. L. Kirby, 1972. "Solution of a Satisficing Model for Random Payoff Games," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 19(3), pages 266-271, November.
    16. Pineda, Salvador & Boomsma, Trine K. & Wogrin, Sonja, 2018. "Renewable generation expansion under different support schemes: A stochastic equilibrium approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 266(3), pages 1086-1099.
    17. Shen Peng & Navnit Yadav & Abdel Lisser & Vikas Vikram Singh, 2021. "Chance-constrained games with mixture distributions," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 94(1), pages 71-97, August.
    18. OGGIONI, Giorgia & SMEERS, Yves, 2013. "Market failures of market coupling and counter-trading in Europe: an illustrative model based discussion," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2553, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    19. Vikas Vikram Singh & Abdel Lisser, 2018. "A Characterization of Nash Equilibrium for the Games with Random Payoffs," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 178(3), pages 998-1013, September.
    20. Roger A. Blau, 1974. "Random-Payoff Two-Person Zero-Sum Games," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 22(6), pages 1243-1251, December.
    21. Wei Jing-Yuan & Yves Smeers, 1999. "Spatial Oligopolistic Electricity Models with Cournot Generators and Regulated Transmission Prices," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 47(1), pages 102-112, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Steven A. Gabriel & Supat Kiet & Jifang Zhuang, 2005. "A Mixed Complementarity-Based Equilibrium Model of Natural Gas Markets," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 53(5), pages 799-818, October.
    2. David Pozo & Enzo Sauma & Javier Contreras, 2017. "Basic theoretical foundations and insights on bilevel models and their applications to power systems," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 254(1), pages 303-334, July.
    3. Desmond Cai & Anish Agarwal & Adam Wierman, 2020. "On the Inefficiency of Forward Markets in Leader–Follower Competition," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 68(1), pages 35-52, January.
    4. Gürkan, G. & Ozdemir, O. & Smeers, Y., 2013. "Strategic Generation Capacity Choice under Demand Uncertainty : Analysis of Nash Equilibria in Electricity Markets," Other publications TiSEM 6b9f0c3a-030e-41e7-8e04-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    5. Singh, Vikas Vikram & Lisser, Abdel & Arora, Monika, 2021. "An equivalent mathematical program for games with random constraints," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    6. Petropoulos, Georgios & Willems, Bert, 2020. "Long-term transmission rights and dynamic efficiency," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    7. Gasmi, Farid & Oviedo, Juan Daniel, 2010. "Investment in transport infrastructure, regulation, and gas-gas competition," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 726-736, May.
    8. Gürkan, G. & Ozdemir, O. & Smeers, Y., 2013. "Strategic Generation Capacity Choice under Demand Uncertainty : Analysis of Nash Equilibria in Electricity Markets," Discussion Paper 2013-044, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    9. Gasmi, Farid & Oviedo, Juan Daniel, 2009. "Investment in Transport Infrastructure, and Gas-Gas Competition," TSE Working Papers 09-121, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    10. Grimm, Veronika & Martin, Alexander & Schmidt, Martin & Weibelzahl, Martin & Zöttl, Gregor, 2016. "Transmission and generation investment in electricity markets: The effects of market splitting and network fee regimes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 254(2), pages 493-509.
    11. Desmond Cai & Subhonmesh Bose & Adam Wierman, 2019. "On the Role of a Market Maker in Networked Cournot Competition," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(3), pages 1122-1144, August.
    12. Nguyen, Hoang Nam & Lisser, Abdel & Singh, Vikas Vikram, 2024. "Random games under normal mean–variance mixture distributed independent linear joint chance constraints," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    13. Singh, Vikas Vikram & Lisser, Abdel, 2019. "A second-order cone programming formulation for two player zero-sum games with chance constraints," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 275(3), pages 839-845.
    14. Vikas Vikram Singh & Abdel Lisser, 2018. "A Characterization of Nash Equilibrium for the Games with Random Payoffs," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 178(3), pages 998-1013, September.
    15. Shen Peng & Navnit Yadav & Abdel Lisser & Vikas Vikram Singh, 2021. "Chance-constrained games with mixture distributions," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 94(1), pages 71-97, August.
    16. M. J. Luo & G. H. Lin, 2009. "Expected Residual Minimization Method for Stochastic Variational Inequality Problems," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 140(1), pages 103-116, January.
    17. Egging, Ruud & Pichler, Alois & Kalvø, Øyvind Iversen & Walle–Hansen, Thomas Meyer, 2017. "Risk aversion in imperfect natural gas markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 259(1), pages 367-383.
    18. Csercsik, Dávid & Hubert, Franz & Sziklai, Balázs R. & Kóczy, László Á., 2019. "Modeling transfer profits as externalities in a cooperative game-theoretic model of natural gas networks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 355-365.
    19. Felten, Björn & Osinski, Paul & Felling, Tim & Weber, Christoph, 2021. "The flow-based market coupling domain - Why we can't get it right," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    20. Bjørndal, Endre & Bjørndal, Mette & Rud, Linda & Alangi, Somayeh Rahimi, 2017. "Market Power Under Nodal and Zonal Congestion Management Techniques," Discussion Papers 2017/14, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:comgts:v:20:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s10287-023-00467-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.