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Financial development, international capital flows, and aggregate output

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  • von Hagen, Jürgen
  • Zhang, Haiping

Abstract

We develop a tractable two-country overlapping-generations model and show that cross-country differences in financial development can explain three recent empirical patterns of international capital flows: Financial capital flows from relatively poor to relatively rich countries, while foreign direct investment flows in the opposite direction; net capital flows go from poor to rich countries; despite its negative net international investment positions, the United States receives a positive net investment income.

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  • von Hagen, Jürgen & Zhang, Haiping, 2014. "Financial development, international capital flows, and aggregate output," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 66-77.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:deveco:v:106:y:2014:i:c:p:66-77
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2013.08.010
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    Cited by:

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    2. Sugata Marjit & Suryaprakash Mishra, 2023. "Credit market imperfection, lack of entrepreneurship and capital outflow from a developing economy," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 1855-1873, August.
    3. Maik Heinemann & Alexander Wulff, 2015. "Idiosyncratic Risk, Borrowing Constraints and Financial Integration - A Discussion of Ambiguous Results," Working Papers 2015019, Berlin Doctoral Program in Economics and Management Science (BDPEMS).
    4. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Bayraktar, Nihal, 2023. "Capital requirements and growth in an open economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    5. Donny TANG, 2020. "What determines the portfolio investment flows to Central and Eastern European Countries in the European Union 2001-2017?," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(4(625), W), pages 21-42, Winter.
    6. Mika Nieminen, 2017. "Patterns of international capital flows and their implications for developing countries," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2017-171, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    7. Sugata Marjit & Suryaprakash Mishra, 2020. "Credit Market Imperfection, Lack of Entrepreneurs and Capital Outflow from a Developing Economy," CESifo Working Paper Series 8515, CESifo.
    8. Zhang, Haiping, 2022. "Upstream financial flows, intangible investment, and allocative efficiency," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    9. Haiping Zhang, 2023. "Trade‐induced sectoral upgrading and upstream financial flows," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 56(3), pages 859-896, August.
    10. Jürgen von Hagen & Haiping Zhang, 2014. "International Capital Flows in the Model with Limited Commitment and Incomplete Markets," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 195-224, February.
    11. Feng, Chaonan & Han, Liyan & Vigne, Samuel & Xu, Yang, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and the dynamics of international capital flows," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    12. Biswas, Amit K. & von Hagen, Jürgen & Sarkar, Sandip, 2022. "FDI Mismatch, trade Mis-reporting, and hidden capital Movements: The USA - China case," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    13. Atangana Ondoa Henri, 2019. "Heavily indebted poor countries initiative (HIPC), debt relief, economic stability and economic growth in Africa," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 52(2), pages 89-121, May.
    14. Katja Mann, 2021. "Does foreign capital go where the returns are? Financial integration and capital allocation efficiency1," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3945-3971, July.
    15. Mika Nieminen, 2017. "Patterns of international capital flows and their implications for developing countries," WIDER Working Paper Series 171, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    16. Tang, Chun & Liu, Xiaoxing & Zhou, Donghai, 2022. "Financial market resilience and financial development: A global perspective," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    17. Wulff, Alexander & Heinemann, Maik, 2015. "Idiosyncratic Risk, Borrowing Constraints and Financial Integration - A Discussion of Ambiguous Results," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113165, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    18. Zhang, Ning, 2023. "Asset home bias in debtor and creditor countries," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    19. Aziz, Omar Ghazy, 2018. "Institutional quality and FDI inflows in Arab economies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 111-123.
    20. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Leonardo Gambacorta & Enisse Kharroubi & Enisse Kharroubi, 2018. "The effects of prudential regulation, financial development and financial openness on economic growth," BIS Working Papers 752, Bank for International Settlements.
    21. Huntington, Hillard G., 2015. "Crude oil trade and current account deficits," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 70-79.
    22. Huang, Sainan & Hueng, C. James & Zeng, Songlin, 2024. "Puzzling retrenchment of banking outflows: The role of information asymmetry," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital account liberalization; Financial frictions; Interest-elastic saving;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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