SIR_model_SEE070

The Corona virus pandemic was the biggest event globally this year. Many people got sick with minorsymptoms, some ended up in the intensive care units (ICUs), and some portion of those infected died. It affected every aspect of everyone’s life: national borders closed, flights were suspended, schools closed, working from home was instituted, social distancing measures were put in place, in some countries facemasks were required, and washing your hands often became a necessity. Why did the government adoptthese measures? Did we do these things to protect ourselves? Or to protect the others? Why? How?

Recall all the information you received during the outbreak: news clips, infographs you saw in the newspapers, pictures, etc. Draw a Concept Mapof how Corona virus spread, and what are believed to be effective preventive measures?

Among the information you received, try to identify one or few simple mathematical model(s) that were used to predict the outbreak and the effectiveness of the interventions. Try to explain those models. What do you think were used to make the predictions? What were the input variables? What were the output variables? What was the relationship or the equations in those models? Do you think they were good models (How do you determine if a model is “good”)? What do you think they missed? What do you think can be improved? Which information do you think was missing?

Compare your concept map with the observations you made in Walk and talk II: The places COVID-19 touched. Were your observation consistent with the “best” advise you would have given if you were the expert after studying these models?

In a group of 4, make a pecha-kucha presentation (a slide show with 20 slides where each slide stays forexactly 20 second) that includes at least the following:

• a Concept Map of how corona virus spread and possible interventions;

• present a mathematical model(s)that can make a prediction of the outbreak and a critique of themodel(s) based on what you learn in the other classes, such as Evolution i biologiska system, Linj ̈aralgebra och experimentell matematik, etc.;

• compare the knowledge you learn from the model and the experience you had in Walk and talk II: Theplaces COVID-19 touched, point out the gaps and inconsistencies and reflect on why the gaps existand what can be done about them?

• Upload your model to Github or any website that supports Open Model/Open Code/Open source.Make sure that the model is easily to assess and fully documented. Download a model developed bythe other team from this class. Run their model and compare with your results.