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garch-model

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I perform time series analysis of data from scratch. I also implement The Autoregressive (AR) Model, The Moving Average (MA) Model, The Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) Model, The Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model, The ARCH Model, The GARCH model, Auto ARIMA, forecasting and exploring a business case.

  • Updated Apr 8, 2020
  • Jupyter Notebook

Undergraduate thesis, Seoul National University Dept. of Economics — "Modeling Volatility and Risk Spillover Between the Financial Markets of US and China Using GARCH Value-at-Risk Forecasting and Granger Causality."

  • Updated Aug 24, 2023
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Python-written project that utilizes Time Series analysis, along with a Linear Regression model, to forecast the price of the Japanese Yen vs. the US Dollar. ARMA, ARIMA, and GARCH forecasting models included, as well as decomposition using the Hodrick-Prescott filter. In-Sample and Out-of-Sample performance metrics used to evaluate Linear Regre…

  • Updated Jan 22, 2021
  • Jupyter Notebook

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