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Customer-Lifetime-Value-prediction

Classification of Potential churners

  • Developed an attrition model using logistic regression to predict customer churn based on RFM (Recency, Frequency, Monetary) metrics. The model generalized well to new data giving us high sensitivity (~70%) and reducing the risk of not identifying a potential churner.
  • Developed a Random forest model that gave us a higher accuracy (~80%)

Prediction of the Customer Lifetime Value

  • Used l-1 regularized regression to predict the number of months a customer will stay on the system using both historical and recent behavior. The model generalized at a high accuracy.

Segmentation of customers

  • Used K-means techniques to arrive at 7 optimal customer segments. The R-squared was 93.8%
  • It was inferred that 3 of the 7 segments consisted of customers that were "sleeping" i.e. not active on the system
  • We recommended specific actions on customers sleeping for 1, 3 and 6 months respectively (duration of dormancy) that would help maximize lifetime value

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