This project predicts the results of UEFA Euro 2024 and the 2024 Copa America by simulating each tournament 10,000 times using an elo-based Monte Carlo Model.
Each team's probabilities are based on updated games completed in the tournament, Elo Ratings, and SPI ratings.
Updates are made after the completion of ALL matches on a particular day for the Group Stage and after the completion of all games for a particular Knockout Round.
You can find the Predictions for both tournaments below:
The chances of each side remaining in UEFA Euro 2024 are indicated below:
| Team | Win Euros |
|---|---|
| 🇪🇸 Spain | 68% |
| 🏴 England | 32% |
The chances of each side remaining in Copa America are indicated below:
| Team | Win Copa America |
|---|---|
| 🇦🇷 Argentina | 61% |
| 🇨🇴 Colombia | 39% |
| Tournament | Predictions for Stage |
|---|---|
| UEFA Euro 2024 | Group Stage |
| UEFA Euro 2024 | Knockout Stage |
| 2024 Copa America | Group Stage |
| 2024 Copa America | Knockout Stage |