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Prognosticator

Overview

A Java application that enables users to build machine learning models capable of making predictions on new data. The application uses WEKA algorithms for prediction tasks and includes several data pre-processing tools. Various configuration options allow the user to tailor the models, experiments, and predictions accordingly.

Instructions

The following are the various ant commands used in development/testing.

  • ant compile - compile all the Java code
  • ant test - run the integration tests
  • ant unit - run the unit tests
  • ant javadocs - generate the javadocs
  • ant jar - generate the jar file

Examples

Apple Stock Price Predictor

This is a very simple example of training a model and then running against some test data.

To run with ant type:

ant example -Dclass=stock.AppleStockPricePredictor

To run with java type:

./example stock.AppleStockPricePredictor

Tomorrow's Weather Predictor

This predicts tomorrow's weather.

To run with ant type:

ant example -Dclass=weather.WeatherTomorrowPredictor

To run with java type:

./example weather.WeatherTomorrowPredictor

Configuration

This following documentation describes the various configuration options that are available in the application.

  • name* : The name of the current configuration. For each different configuration should have a unique name.
  • dumpARFF* : The location of the entire dump (both training and test) if it exists.
  • data* : Holds data-specific information:
    • dataFormat* : The format to expect data attributes.
    • classValue* : The class attribute to be predicted.
    • positiveClassValue* : For nominal class attributes, the value of the 'positive' case.
    • negativeClassValue* : For nominal class attributes, the value of the 'negative' case.
    • positiveClassWeight* : For nominal class attributes, the weight of the 'positive' case.
    • negativeClassWeight* : For nominal class attributes, the weight of the 'negative' case.
  • errorAnalysis* : Hold test outcome results for binary classification tasks.
    • truePositives* : Path to file to store true positives.
    • trueNegatives* : Path to file to store true negatives.
    • falsePositives* : Path to file to store false positives.
    • falseNegatives* : Path to file to store false negatives.
  • classifier* : Holds all classifier related information:
    • model* : Holds model specific information: * classifier* : The WEKA classifier to train * outputModel* : File path to store the trained model.
    • crossValidation* : Holds cross-validation specific information:
      • numFolds* : The number of folds to use in cross validation.
      • arguments : Holds cross validation options.
      • seed : Random seed to use in cross validation.
    • classify* : Holds location of training and test arff file, if they exists. If they don't the application partitions (stratified for nominal class attributes) the dump data:
      • testARFF* : Path to the test ARFF file.
      • trainingARFF* : Path to the training ARFF file.
    • prediction* : Stores configuration option for test instance classifications:
      • maxCount* : The maximum number of predictions to return (0 for all).
      • minProb* : The minimum threshold for all model predictions.
      • file* : Path to file to store the prediction.
      • onlyPosNominal* : For nominal class values, indicates whether to include only positiveClassValue predictions.
    • writeToMongoDB* : Indicates whether to write cross validation results/model to mongoDB. If set to true, ensure a mongod is running.
    • writeToFile* : Indicates whether to write results/model to file.
  • mongoDB : Holds all mongoDB specific information. This must be present if writeToMongoDB is set to true.:
    • hostname : Host name of mongod.
    • port : Mongod port.
    • database : Name of database to write results to.
    • configCollection : Name of collection that holds other configurations. Useful for large experiments.
    • modelCollection : Name of collection that holds models and cross validation results.
    • predictionCollection : Name of collection that holds the predictions made by the model.
  • dump* : Holds information pertaining to the structure and content of the imput dump data.
    • file* : Holds the location of the input data.
    • attributes* : Holds all the attributes contained within the dump.
      • rawAttributeName* : Holds the name of each attribute in the dump, exactly as it appears in file.
      • attributeName : Holds the preferred name for the attribute.
      • attributeType* : Holds the WEKA attribute type for this attribute ()nominal, numeric, string or date).
      • include* : Flag indicating if this attribute should be used in training.

Options marked * are required.

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A Java machine learning environment

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