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Project of Thermal Inertia for A/C and chiller systems in buildings

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Predicting thermal inertia of HVAC installations

Project in the field of IoT for building energy systems in cooperation with Indoorclima

The smart management of HVAC installations leads to energy savings of 5% to 20% A thermal inertia algorithm should indicate when to power on/off the HVAC system to reach desired temperature at the desired time. Inertia model developed in the past running with limitations: not considered external temperature and can't be trained on more than 2-3 months of data.

The objectives of this project are:

  • Create a model for the prediction of thermal inertia during power on and power off.
  • Improve error metrics by means of feature selection/engineering as compared with the model currently used
  • Create a model which can be trained on 1 year data without negative impacting error metrics

The report can be seen here.
The modelling script here.

Current development

Objectives:

  • Scale-up to all locations and integrate into production (Azure DevOps)
  • Use forecasts of outer temperature to further improve the model
  • Use dummy variables to consider the occupation level of buildings (big stores)

First iteration of current development can be seen here.

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Project of Thermal Inertia for A/C and chiller systems in buildings

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