Repository for the paper "A simple criterion to design optimal non-pharmaceutical interventions for mitigating epidemic outbreaks" by Marco Tulio Angulo, Fernando Castaños, Rodrigo Moreno-Morton, Jorge X. Velasco-Hernandez, and Jaime A. Moreno.

Preprint: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.19.20107268v2.article-metrics

The repository contains the code necessary to calculate the optimal non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) in the Susceptible-Infected-Removed model. These NPIs are optimal in the sense that they have the minimal effective duration (thus minimizing the societal and economic costs) while maintaining the disease prevalence below a predefined level I_max (e.g., the maximum capacity for the health services for the specific outbreak). The Jupyter Notebook epidemic_control.ipynb shows how to calculate these optimal NPIs. See theoretical details in the above paper.

Code written by Rodrigo Moreno-Morton, with inputs by Fernando Castaños.