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2024 Arizona Proposition 139

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2024 Arizona Proposition 139

November 5, 2024

Right to Abortion Initiative
Results
Choice
Votes %
Yes 2,000,287 61.61%
No 1,246,202 38.39%

100% reporting as of Nov. 25, MST[1]

Arizona Proposition 139 is a constitutional amendment that was approved by voters on November 5, 2024, establishing a right to abortion in the Constitution of Arizona up until fetal viability.[2]

Background

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Arizona's first ban on abortion was passed in 1864.[3] It read:

[E]very person who shall administer, or cause to be administered or taken, any medicinal substances, or shall use or cause to be used any instruments whatever, with the intention to procure the miscarriage of any woman then being with child, and shall be thereof duly convicted, shall be punished by imprisonment in the Territorial prison for a term not less than two years, and nor more than five years: Provided, that no physician shall be affected by the last clause of this section, who, in the discharge of his professional duties, deems it necessary to produce the miscarriage of any woman in order to save her life.[3]

This total abortion ban was invalidated in 1973 by Roe v. Wade, which recognized a constitutional right to abortion up to fetal viability. A trigger law, drafted to go into effect if Roe were overturned, was passed by the Arizona Legislature in 2022, banning abortion after the 15th week of pregnancy. Later that same year, the Supreme Court of the United States ruled in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization that Roe had been "wrongly decided". This, in turn, led to confusion over which of the two Arizona abortion laws should go into effect: Then-Governor Doug Ducey backed the 15-week ban, while then-Attorney General Mark Brnovich held that the older total ban should be operative.

In November of 2022, Katie Hobbs and Kris Mayes, both supporters of abortion rights, were elected as Governor and Attorney General of Arizona, respectively; their election was seen as part of the so-called Dobbs effect backlash against the ruling. The next month, a state appeals court ruling found that the 2022 law should take precedence, allowing abortions up to 15 weeks to be performed in Arizona.[4] In July 2023, Hobbs issued an executive order stripping local prosecutors of their ability to file prosecutions over the 15-week ban or (if it were revived in court) the 1864 ban, and assigning that power to Mayes, who, in turn, stated that she had no intention of ever filing such prosecutions.[5][6]

On April 9, 2024, the Republican-controlled Arizona Supreme Court ruled in Planned Parenthood Arizona v. Mayes that the 1864 law could be enforced.[7] However, on May 1, in the face of further backlash, the Arizona Legislature repealed the 1864 law, leaving the 15-week ban in place.[8] Proposition 139 invalidated the 15-week ban, restoring the legal situation before the repeal of Roe.[9]

Content

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The official ballot title is as follows:

PROPOSITION 139
PROPOSED BY INITIATIVE PETITION RELATING TO THE FUNDAMENTAL RIGHT TO AN ABORTION.

Official Title

AMENDING ARTICLE II, CONSTITUTION OF ARIZONA, BY ADDING SECTION 8.1; RELATING TO THE FUNDAMENTAL RIGHT TO AN ABORTION.

Descriptive Title

CREATES A FUNDAMENTAL RIGHT TO ABORTION. LIMITS THE STATE'S ABILITY TO INTERFERE WITH THAT RIGHT BEFORE FETAL VIABILITY. AFTER FETAL VIABILITY, ABORTIONS ARE ALLOWED WHEN NECESSARY TO PROTECT THE LIFE OR HEALTH OF THE PREGNANT INDIVIDUAL. PROHIBITS LAWS PENALIZING A PERSON FOR ASSISTING AN INDIVIDUAL OBTAINING AN ABORTION.[10]

If approved, the ballot measure would add the following text to Article 2, Section 8.1, to the Arizona Constitution:[11]

8.1. Fundamental right to abortion; definitions

A. Every individual has a fundamental right to abortion, and the state shall not enact, adopt, or enforce any law, regulation, policy, or practice that does any of the following:

1. Denies, restricts, or interferes with that right before fetal viability, unless justified by a compelling state interest that is achieved by the least restrictive means.

2. Denies, restricts, or interferes with an abortion after fetal viability that, in the good faith judgement of a treating health-care professional, is necessary to protect the life or physical or mental health of the pregnant individual.

3. Penalizes any individual or entity for aiding or assisting a pregnant individual in exercising the individual's right to abortion as provided in this section.

B. For the purposes of this section:

1. "Compelling state interest" means a law, regulation, policy, or practice that meets both of the following:

(a) Is enacted or adopted for the limited purpose of improving or maintaining the health of an individual seeking abortion care, consistent with accepted clinical standards of practice and evidence-based medicine.

(b) Does not infringe on that individual's autonomous decision-making.

2. "Fetal viability" means the point in pregnancy when, in the good-faith judgement of a treating health-care professional, and based on the particular facts of the case, there is a significant likelihood of the fetus's sustained survival outside the uterus, without the application of extraordinary medical measures.

3. "State" means this state, any agency of this state, or any political subdivision of this state.

Endorsements

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Yes
U.S. Senators
Statewide Officials
Organizations
No

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
For Against Undecided
Noble Predictive 28 October 28–30, 2024 775 (LV) ± 3.5% 57% 33% 9%[b]
CBS News/YouGov October 11–16, 2024 1,434 (RV) ± 3.3% 52% 33% 15%
Fox News September 20–24, 2024 1,021 (RV) ± 3.0% 72% 26% 2%
New York Times/Siena College September 17–21, 2024 713 (RV) ± 4.4% 58% 35% 7%
Fox News August 23–26, 2024 1,014 (RV) ± 3.0% 73% 23% 4%
KFF May 23–June 5, 2024 3,192 (Female RV) ± 5% 67% 32% 0%
CBS News/YouGov May 10–16, 2024 1510 (LV) ± 3.3% 65% 21% 14%
Noble Predictive Insights May 7–14, 2024 1,003 (RV) ± 3.09% 41% 41% 18%

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "I wouldn't vote on this measure" with 2%

References

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  1. ^ "Arizona Proposition 139 Election Results: Right to Abortion". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 11, 2024.
  2. ^ Rodriguez, Valeria (2024-08-27). "Prop 139 on Arizona November Ballot". KYMA. Retrieved 2024-08-29.
  3. ^ a b Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Org., No. 19-1392, slip op. at 112 (U.S. June 24, 2022).
  4. ^ "Arizona's 1864 abortion ban doesn't overrule 50 years of more recent regulations". Arizona Mirror. 2022-12-31. Retrieved 2023-11-08.
  5. ^ "Mayes says she has no plans to prosecute any abortions". KJZZ. 2023-07-03. Retrieved 2023-11-08.
  6. ^ Clift, Eleanor (2023-07-03). "How Arizona Became Ground Zero for the Abortion Rights Battle". The Daily Beast. Retrieved 2023-11-08.
  7. ^ Billeuad, Jacques; Snow, Anita (April 9, 2024). "Arizona can enforce an 1864 law criminalizing nearly all abortions, court says". The Associated Press. The Associated Press. Retrieved 2024-04-10.
  8. ^ Healy, Jack; Dias, Elizabeth (2024-05-01). "Arizona Lawmakers Repeal 1864 Abortion Ban, Creating Rift on the Right". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2024-07-04.
  9. ^ Rosciglione, Annabella (2024-06-18). "Arizona's 1864 abortion ban no longer expected to take effect". Washington Examiner. Retrieved 2024-08-16.
  10. ^ "Arizona Secretary of State 2024 General Election Ballot Language" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2024-08-21.
  11. ^ "Application for Serial Number Initiative Petition A.R.S. § 19-111" (PDF). Initiative, Referendum and Recall Applications. Arizona Secretary of state. September 12, 2023.
  12. ^ Messerly, Megan (May 12, 2024). "National Dem strategy worries state abortion-rights leaders". Politico. Retrieved August 15, 2024.
  13. ^ Gomez, Gloria (November 28, 2023). "Hobbs endorses Arizona Abortion Access Act". Arizona Mirror. Retrieved August 15, 2024.
  14. ^ "FFRF Action Fund grants support for 11 pro-abortion state referenda". Freedom From Religion Foundation Action. September 24, 2024. Retrieved October 13, 2024.
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