2018 California gubernatorial election
The 2018 California gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of California, concurrently with elections for the rest of California's executive branch, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic governor Jerry Brown was ineligible to run for re-election for a third consecutive (and fifth non-consecutive) term due to term limits from the Constitution of California. The race was between the incumbent Democratic lieutenant governor Gavin Newsom and businessman John H. Cox, a Republican, who qualified for the general election after placing first and second in the June 5, 2018, primary election.
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Turnout | 63.28% (32.34 pp) | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Newsom: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Cox: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
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Newsom won in a landslide, with 62% of the vote, the biggest victory in a gubernatorial race in California since Earl Warren won re-election in 1950, and the biggest victory for a non-incumbent since 1930; Newsom received almost eight million votes.[1] The election also marked the first time Orange County had voted for the Democratic candidate since Jerry Brown won it in 1978, and the first time Democrats won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state's history. Newsom was sworn in on January 7, 2019.
Candidates
editA primary election was held on June 5, 2018. Under California's non-partisan blanket primary law, all candidates appeared on the same ballot, regardless of party. Voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers – regardless of party – advance to the general election in November, regardless of whether a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election.
Democratic Party
editDeclared
edit- Akinyemi Agbede, mathematician[2]
- Juan M. Bribiesca, retired physician[3]
- Thomas Jefferson Cares, blockchain start-up CEO[4]
- John Chiang, California State Treasurer[5]
- Delaine Eastin, former California State Superintendent of Public Instruction[6]
- Robert Davidson Griffis, 2016 Libertarian candidate for president[4]
- Albert Caesar Mezzetti, former Manteca City Councilman[4]
- Gavin Newsom, Lieutenant Governor of California[7]
- Amanda Renteria, national political director for Hillary Clinton's 2016 presidential campaign and candidate for CA-21 in 2014[8]
- Michael Shellenberger, founder of the Breakthrough Institute[9][10][4]
- Klement Tinaj, actor, martial artist, stuntman, and producer[11]
- Antonio Villaraigosa, former mayor of Los Angeles[12][13][14]
Declined
edit- Xavier Becerra, Attorney General of California (ran for re-election)[15][16]
- Scooter Braun, music manager[17][18]
- George Clooney, actor and activist[19][20]
- Kevin de León, President pro tempore of the California State Senate (ran for the U.S. Senate)[21][22][23]
- Eric Garcetti, Mayor of Los Angeles[24]
- Bob Iger, CEO of The Walt Disney Company[25][26]
- Sheryl Sandberg, Facebook COO[27]
- Libby Schaaf, Mayor of Oakland (ran for re-election)[21][28]
- Jackie Speier, U.S. representative (ran for re-election)[29]
- Tom Steyer, hedge fund manager, philanthropist, and environmentalist[30][31][32]
Republican Party
editDeclared
edit- Travis Allen, State Assemblyman[33]
- John H. Cox, businessman[34][35]
- Yvonne Girard, US Military Veteran[4]
- Peter Y. Liu, entrepreneur, real estate agent, US Army veteran[4]
- Robert C. Newman II, businessman, psychologist, farmer[4]
- K. Pearce (write-in)[36]
Withdrawn
edit- Rosey Grier, minister and retired NFL player[37][38][39]
- David Hadley, former state assemblyman[40][41]
- Allen Ishida, former Tulare County Supervisor[42][43][44][45]
- Doug Ose, former U.S. representative[46]
Declined
edit- Tim Donnelly, former state assemblyman, candidate for governor in 2014, and candidate for CA-08 in 2016[47] (running for CA-08)
- Kevin Faulconer, mayor of San Diego[48]
- Ashley Swearengin, former mayor of Fresno[49][7]
- Peter Thiel, venture capitalist[50][51][52][53]
Libertarian Party
editDeclared
edit- Zoltan Istvan, Transhumanist Party nominee for President of the United States in 2016[54][55]
- Nickolas Wildstar, political activist, rapper, and write-in candidate for governor in 2014[56][57]
Green Party
editDeclared
edit- Christopher Carlson, puppeteer[4]
- Veronika Fimbres (write-in)[36]
- Josh Jones, author, geologist, solar electric designer[4]
Peace and Freedom Party
editDeclared
edit- Gloria La Riva, activist and nominee for President of the United States in 2016[58]
Independent (No Party)
editDeclared
edit- Armando M. Arreola (write-in)[36]
- Shubham Goel (Later a contestant on Netflix's The Circle)[59]
- Hakan "Hawk" Mikado[4]
- Desmond Silveira, engineer and former national committee member of the American Solidarity Party[4][a]
- Arman Soltani (write-in)[36]
- Jeffrey Edward Taylor[4]
- Peter Crawford Valentino (write-in)[36]
- Johnny Wattenburg[4]
Notes
editPrimary election
editFrom the later half of 2017, Lieutenant governor Gavin Newsom was widely seen as the favored front runner for the top two primary. Businessman John Cox and Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa had both been running closely behind Newsom to obtain the second place spot. However soon in late 2017, as more prominent Democrats entered the race, Villaraigosa saw his polling numbers slip out of competition with Cox by the start of 2018. This had mainly left the race between Newsom and Cox, with a third place free for all between Allen and Villaraigosa.
Endorsements
editU.S. representatives
- Tom McClintock, U.S. representative (R-CA-4)[61]
- Dana Rohrabacher, U.S. representative (R-CA-48)[62]
- Ed Royce, U.S. representative (R-CA-39)[63]
State-level officials
- Patricia Bates, California Senate minority leader (R-36)[64]
- Bill Brough, California state assemblyman (R-73)[62]
- Phillip Chen, California state assemblyman (R-55)[62]
- Steven Choi, California state assemblyman (R-68)[62]
- James Gallagher, California state assemblyman (R-3)[62]
- Diane Harkey, Member of the California State Board of Equalization[65]
- Matthew Harper, California state assemblyman (R-74)[62]
- Tom Lackey, California state assemblyman (R-36)[62]
- Melissa Melendez, California state assemblywoman (R-67)[62]
- Mike Morrell, California state senator (R-23)[62]
- Jay Obernolte, California state assemblyman (R-33)[62]
- Jim Patterson, California state assemblyman (R-23)[62]
- Jeff Stone, California state senator (R-28)[62]
- Randy Voepel, California state assemblyman (R-71)[62]
Notable individuals
- Roger Stone, political consultant as well as strategist and InfoWars contributor[66]
Newspapers and other media
Organizations
- California Republican Assembly[68]
Federal elected officials
- Alan Lowenthal, U.S. representative (D-CA-47)[69]
- Grace Napolitano, U.S. representative (D-CA-32)[70]
- Linda Sánchez, U.S. representative (D-CA-38)[71]
- Brad Sherman, U.S. representative (D-CA-30)[72]
- Mark Takano, U.S. representative (D-CA-41), co-chair of the Congressional LGBT Equality Caucus[73]
State-level officials
- Ed Chau, California state assemblymember (D-49)[70]
- Lorena Gonzlez Fletcher, California state assemblymember (D-80)[74]
- Dave Jones, California Insurance Commissioner[75]
- Anthony Portantino, California state senator (D-25)[76]
- Sharon Quirk-Silva, California state assemblymember (D-65)[77]
- Anthony Rendon, Speaker of the California State Assembly (D-63)[78]
- Bob Wieckowski, California state senator (D-10)
- Mariko Yamada, former California state assemblymember (D-4)
Local-level officials
- Bob Blumenfield, member of the Los Angeles City Council, District 3
- Rick Bonilla, San Mateo Mayor[79]
- Ron Galperin, City Controller of Los Angeles[80]
- Georgette Gomez, member of San Diego City Council[81]
- José Huizar, member of the Los Angeles City Council, District 14[82]
- Paul Koretz, member of the Los Angeles City Council, District 5[83]
- Das Williams, member of Santa Barbara County Board of Supervisors[84]
- Norman Yee, member of San Francisco Board of Supervisors[85]
Organizations
- AFSCME District Council 36[86]
- American Federation of Teachers Staff Guild, Local 1521A[87]
- Association of California State Supervisors (ACSS)[88]
- Council on American-Islamic Relations California PAC[89]
- International Union of Operating Engineers State Unit 12[90]
Individuals
- Francine Busby, former chair of the San Diego County Democratic Party[91]
State-level officials
- Cecilia Aguiar-Curry, California state assemblywoman (D-04)[92]
- Dede Alpert, former California state senator (D-39)[92]
- Tom Ammiano, former California state assemblymember (D-17)[92]
- Joan Buchanan, former California state assemblywoman (D-16)[92]
- Laura Chick, former California inspector general, Los Angeles controller, Los Angeles city councilmember[92]
- Loni Hancock, former California state senator (D-09)[92]
- Leona Egeland Rice, former California state assemblywoman (Santa Clara)[92]
- Lori Saldana, former California state assemblywoman (D-76)[92]
- Virginia Strom-Martin, former California state assemblywoman (D-01)[92]
- Sally Tanner, former California state assemblywoman (D-60)[92]
- Tom Torlakson, State Superintendent of Public Instruction[92]
Local-level officials
- Harry Britt, former San Francisco supervisor[93]
- Heather Fargo, former mayor of Sacramento[92]
- Gus Morrison, former mayor of Fremont[92]
- Joy Picus, former Los Angeles city councilmember[92]
Organizations
- Cal Berkeley Democrats[94]
- Feel the Bern Democratic Club, Los Angeles[95]
- Feminist Majority Foundation[96]
- Harvey Milk LGBT Democratic Club[97]
- National Women's Political Caucus of California[98]
- Our Revolution Ventura County[99][100]
Individuals
- Viggo Mortensen, actor
Notable individuals
- Dr. Ronda Chervin, Ph.D, emerita Professor of Philosophy, author of numerous books, TV and radio presenter
- Mike Maturen, 2016 presidential candidate of American Solidarity Party[101]
- Joe Schriner, journalist, activist, and six-time independent presidential candidate[102]
Organizations
U.S. representatives
- Karen Bass, U.S. representative (D-CA-37)[103]
- Tony Coelho, former U.S. representative[104]
- Lou Correa, U.S. representative (D-CA-46)[105]
- Lucille Roybal-Allard, U.S. representative (D-CA-40)
- Diane Watson, former U.S. representative[106]
State-level officials
- Steven Bradford, California state senator (D-35)[107]
- Ian Calderon, California state assemblymember (D-57), majority leader of the California Assembly[108]
- Eduardo Garcia, California state assemblymember (D-56)[109]
- Ben Hueso, California state senator (D-40)[110]
- Kevin Murray, former California state senator[111]
- Fabian Núñez, former speaker of the California State Assembly[112]
- John Pérez, former speaker of the California State Assembly[113]
- Cruz Reynoso, former California Supreme Court Justice[114]
- Freddie Rodriguez, California state assemblymember (D-52)[105]
- Blanca Rubio, California state assemblymember (D-48)[115]
- Shirley Weber, California state assemblymember (D-79)[116]
Local-level officials
- Art Agnos, former mayor of San Francisco[117]
- Luis Alejo, member of the Monterey County Board of Supervisors[118]
- Aja Brown, Mayor of Compton[119]
- David Campos, former Supervisor, City of San Francisco[117]
- Marqueece Harris-Dawson, member of the Los Angeles City Council[120]
- Sheila Kuehl, member of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors[105]
- Sam Liccardo, Mayor of San Jose[121]
- Manuel Lozano, Mayor of Baldwin Park[115]
- Gloria Molina, former member of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors[105]
- V. Manuel Perez, member of the Riverside County Board of Supervisors[109]
- Aaron Peskin, Supervisor, City of San Francisco[117]
- Curren Price, member of the Los Angeles City Council[120]
- Simon Salinas, member of the Monterey County Board of Supervisors[122]
- Herb Wesson, President of the Los Angeles City Council[123]
Organizations
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades District Council 36[124]
- United Farm Workers[125]
Individuals
- Meg Whitman, CEO of Hewlett Packard Enterprise, former CEO of eBay and 2010 Republican nominee for governor[126]
Individuals
- Larry Sharpe, business consultant and candidate for Vice President of the United States in 2016, Libertarian nominee for Governor of New York in 2018[127][128]
Organizations
Notable individuals and organizations
Polling
editGraphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Travis Allen (R) |
John Chiang (D) |
John Cox (R) |
Delaine Eastin (D) |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Competitive Edge Research & Communication[130] | May 29–30, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 10% | 4% | 23% | 5% | 31% | 13% | 15%[a] |
UC Berkeley[131] | May 22−28, 2018 | 2,106 | ± 3.5% | 12% | 7% | 20% | 4% | 33% | 13% | 11%[b] |
Emerson College[132] | May 21–24, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.2% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 4% | 24% | 12% | 23%[c] |
YouGov[133] | May 12–24, 2018 | 1,113 | ± 4.0% | 10% | 8% | 17% | 4% | 33% | 9% | 16%[d] |
Competitive Edge Research & Communication[134] | May 20–22, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 9% | 7% | 22% | 8% | 26% | 12% | 17%[e] |
SurveyUSA[135] | May 21, 2018 | 678 | ± 6.1% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 16%[f] |
Public Policy Institute of California[136] | May 11–20, 2018 | 901 | ± 4.1% | 11% | 9% | 19% | 6% | 25% | 15% | 16%[g] |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[137] | April 18 – May 18, 2018 | 517 | ± 4.0% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 21% | 11% | 43%[h] |
Gravis Marketing[138] | May 4–5, 2018 | 525 | ± 4.3% | 8% | 9% | 23% | 4% | 22% | 19% | 15%[i] |
SmithJohnson Research (R-Cox)[139] | April 26–27, 2018 | 533 | ± 4.2% | 13% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 36% | 8% | 16%[j] |
SurveyUSA[140] | April 19–23, 2018 | 520 | ± 5.5% | 10% | 9% | 15% | 1% | 21% | 18% | 25%[k] |
UC Berkeley[141] | April 16−22, 2018 | 1,738 | ± 3.5% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 4% | 30% | 9% | 16%[l] |
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research[142] | March 30 – April 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.7% | 9% | 9% | 16% | 5% | 26% | 7% | 28%[m] |
Public Policy Institute of California[143] | March 25 – April 3, 2018 | 867 | ± 4.4% | 10% | 7% | 15% | 6% | 26% | 13% | 23%[n] |
SurveyUSA[144] | March 22–25, 2018 | 517 | ± 5.0% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 3% | 22% | 14% | 34%[o] |
David Binder Research (D-Newsom)[145] | March 16–21, 2018 | 1,750 | – | 13% | 9% | 16% | 2% | 29% | 7% | 24%[p] |
Public Policy Institute of California[146] | March 7–13, 2018 | 1,706 | ± 3.4% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 5% | 28% | 12% | 25%[q] |
David Binder Research (D-Newsom)[147] | March 1–5, 2018 | 1,000 | – | 10% | 13% | 16% | 7% | 26% | 12% | 16%[r] |
David Binder Research (D-Newsom)[148] | January 31 – February 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 30% | 11% | 33%[s] |
Global Strategy Group (D-Chiang)[149] | January 27 – February 1, 2018 | 500 | – | 7% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 28% | 14% | 3%[t] |
Public Policy Institute of California[150] | January 21–30, 2018 | 1,705 | ± 3.2% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 23% | 21% | 28%[u] |
Tulchin Research/Moore Information[151] | January 21–28, 2018 | 2,500 | ± 2.0% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 29% | 11% | 26%[v] |
SurveyUSA[152] | January 7–9, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.4% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 10% | 53%[w] |
UC Berkeley[153] | December 7–16, 2017 | 672 | ± 3.8% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 26% | 17% | 29%[x] |
Public Policy Institute of California[154] | November 10–19, 2017 | 1,070 | ± 4.3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 23% | 18% | 31%[y] |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[155] | October 27 – November 6, 2017 | 1,070[z] | ± 4.0% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 4% | 31% | 21% | 6%[aa] |
UC Berkeley[156] | August 27 – September 5, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 4.0% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 26% | 10% | 33%[ab] |
SmithJohnson Research (R-Cox)[157] | July 27–30, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 10% | 7% | 14% | 3% | 25% | 12% | 28%[m] |
GSSR (D-Chiang)[158] | May 30 – June 5, 2017 | 602 | – | – | 10% | 11% | – | 26% | 12% | – |
UC Berkeley[159] | May 4–29, 2017 | 1,628 | ± 3.3% | – | 5% | 9% | 3% | 22% | 17% | 44%[ac] |
The Feldman Group (D-Villaraigosa)[160] | March 2017 | – | – | – | – | 22% | – | 26% | 20% | – |
- Notes
- ^ Other 5%, Undecided 10%
- ^ Other 4%, Undecided 7%
- ^ Other 4%, Undecided 19%
- ^ Amanda Renteria (D), Robert C. Newman (R), Shubham Goel (NPP) with 1%, all other candidates 0%, Undecided 13%
- ^ Other 4%, Undecided 13%
- ^ Thomas Jefferson Cares (D), Robert C. Newman (R), Klement Tinaj (D) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), Christopher Carlson (G), Yvonne Girard (R), Shubham Goel (NPP), Robert Davidson Griffis (D), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Gloria La Riva (PFP), Peter Yuan Liu (R), Albert Caesar Mezzetti (D), Hakan "Hawk" Mikado (NPP), Amanda Renteria (D), Michael Shellenberger (D), Desmond Silveira (ASP), Jeffrey Edward Taylor (NPP), Johnny Wattenburg (NPP), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 0%; Undecided with 13%
- ^ Other 1%, Undecided 16%
- ^ Akinyemi Agbede (D), Robert Davidson Griffis (D), Amanda Renteria (D), and Gloria La Riva (PFP) with 1%; Juan Bribiesca (D), Thomas Jefferson Cares (D), Albert Caesar Mezzetti (D), Michael Shellenberger (D), Klement Tinaj (D), Christopher Carlson (G), Josh Jones (G), Zoltan Istvan (L), Nickolas Wildstar (L), Yvonne Girard (R), Robert C. Newman (R), Shubham Goel (NPP), Hakan "Hawk" Mikado (NPP), Desmond Silveira (ASP), Jeffrey Edward Taylor (NPP), Johnny Wattenburg (NPP) with 0%; Other 0%; Not voting 0%; Undecided 39%
- ^ Albert Mezzetti (D) 2%, Undecided 13%
- ^ Amanda Renteria (D) 0%, Undecided 16%
- ^ Robert Newman (R) 4%, Amanda Renteria (D) 3%, Other 1%, Undecided 17%
- ^ Other 3%, Undecided 13%
- ^ a b Undecided 28%
- ^ Other 1%, Undecided 22%
- ^ Robert Newman (R) 3%; Yvonne Girard (R) and Robert Kleinberger* (NPP) with 2%; Daniel Amare* (R), Brian Domingo* (R), Peter Yuan Liu (R), Michael Bracamontes* (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Harmesh Kumar* (D), and James Tran* (NPP) with 0%; Other 0%l; Undecided 21%. *Withdrawn.
- ^ Amanda Renteria (D) 2%, Other 6%, Undecided 16%
- ^ Other 1%, Undecided 24%
- ^ Amanda Renteria (D) 4%, Undecided 12%
- ^ Doug Ose* (R) 4%, Other 29%. *Withdrawn.
- ^ Doug Ose* (R) 3%. *Withdrawn.
- ^ Doug Ose* (R) 3%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 24%. *Withdrawn.
- ^ Doug Ose* (R) 4%, Someone else 4%, Undecided 18%. *Withdrawn.
- ^ Robert Newman (R), Doug Ose* (R), Tom Steyer† (D), Peter Thiel† (R), and Steve Westly† (D) with 2%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Daniel Amare* (R), Stasyi Barth* (R), Michael Bracamontes* (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), Brian Domingo* (R), Yvonne Girard (R), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Robert Kleinberger* (NPP), Harmesh Kumar* (D), Peter Yuan Liu (R), James Tran* (NPP), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 1%; Michael Bilger* (NPP), Andy Blanch* (NPP), Scooter Braun† (D), John-Leslie Brown* (R), David Bush* (NPP), Christopher Carlson (G), Peter Crawford-Valentino* (NPP), Ted Crisell* (D), Grant Handzlik* (NPP), Analila Joya* (NPP), Joshua Laine* (AIP), Chad Mayes† (R), Jacob Morris* (R), Timothy Richardson* (NPP), Boris Romanowsky* (NPP), Michael Shellenberger (D), H. Fuji Shioura* (NPP), Laura Smith* (R), Scot Sturtevant* (NPP), Ashley Swearengin† (R), Klement Tinaj (D), and Frédéric Prinz von Anhalt* (NPP) with 0%; Other with 29%. *Withdrawn. †Hypothetical candidate.
- ^ Other 1%, Undecided 28%
- ^ Other 1%, Undecided 30%
- ^ 1,070 likely primary voters out of 1,504. MoE out of 1,504: ± 3.0. 22% out of 1,504 not voting.
- ^ Other 6%
- ^ Undecided 33%
- ^ David Hadley* (R) 7%, Undecided 37%. *Withdrawn.
with Kevin Faulconer and Eric Garcetti
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Chiang (D) |
John Cox (R) |
Kevin Faulconer (R) |
Eric Garcetti (D) |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Tom Steyer (D) |
Ashley Swearengin (R) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Berkeley/YouGov[161] | March 13–20, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 3.6% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 24% | 4% | – | 7% | 25%[a] |
Public Policy Polling[162] | January 17–18, 2017 | 882 | ± 3.3% | 2% | – | 20% | 13% | 25% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 16%[b] |
Field Research Corporation[163] | October 25–31, 2016 | 600 | – | 2% | – | 16% | 7% | 23% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 30%[c] |
Public Policy Polling[164] | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | – | 10% | – | 30% | 11% | 22% | – | – | 13% | 26%[d] |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gavin Newsom | 2,343,792 | 33.7% | |
Republican | John H. Cox | 1,766,488 | 25.4% | |
Democratic | Antonio Villaraigosa | 926,394 | 13.3% | |
Republican | Travis Allen | 658,798 | 9.5% | |
Democratic | John Chiang | 655,920 | 9.4% | |
Democratic | Delaine Eastin | 234,869 | 3.4% | |
Democratic | Amanda Renteria | 93,446 | 1.3% | |
Republican | Robert C. Newman II | 44,674 | 0.6% | |
Democratic | Michael Shellenberger | 31,692 | 0.5% | |
Republican | Peter Y. Liu | 27,336 | 0.4% | |
Republican | Yvonne Girard | 21,840 | 0.3% | |
Peace and Freedom | Gloria La Riva | 19,075 | 0.3% | |
Democratic | J. Bribiesca | 18,586 | 0.3% | |
Green | Josh Jones | 16,131 | 0.2% | |
Libertarian | Zoltan Istvan | 14,462 | 0.2% | |
Democratic | Albert Caesar Mezzetti | 12,026 | 0.2% | |
Libertarian | Nickolas Wildstar | 11,566 | 0.2% | |
Democratic | Robert Davidson Griffis | 11,103 | 0.2% | |
Democratic | Akinyemi Agbede | 9,380 | 0.1% | |
Democratic | Thomas Jefferson Cares | 8,937 | 0.1% | |
Green | Christopher N. Carlson | 7,302 | 0.1% | |
Democratic | Klement Tinaj | 5,368 | 0.1% | |
No party preference | Hakan "Hawk" Mikado | 5,346 | 0.1% | |
No party preference | Johnny Wattenburg | 4,973 | 0.1% | |
No party preference | Desmond Silveira | 4,633 | 0.1% | |
No party preference | Shubham Goel | 4,020 | 0.1% | |
No party preference | Jeffrey Edward Taylor | 3,973 | 0.1% | |
Green | Veronika Fimbres (write-in) | 62 | 0.0% | |
No party preference | Arman Soltani (write-in) | 32 | 0.0% | |
No party preference | Peter Crawford Valentino (write-in) | 21 | 0.0% | |
Republican | K. Pearce (write-in) | 8 | 0.0% | |
No party preference | Armando M. Arreola (write-in) | 1 | 0.0% | |
Total votes | 6,862,254 | 100% |
Results by county
editRed represents counties won by Cox. Blue represents counties won by Newsom. Green represents counties won by Villaraigosa.[166]
County | Newsom % | Cox % | Villaraigosa % | Allen % | Chiang % | Others % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alameda | 53.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% |
Alpine | 38.5% | 24.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% |
Amador | 21.5% | 41.8% | 5.8% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
Butte | 25.6% | 34.4% | 5.5% | 14.5% | 6.1% | 13.9% |
Calaveras | 23.3% | 38.2% | 5.3% | 18.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% |
Colusa | 13.0% | 43.3% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 3.6% | 7.8% |
Contra Costa | 49.9% | 19.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
Del Norte | 23.4% | 27.0% | 3.5% | 24.8% | 7.7% | 13.6% |
El Dorado | 24.5% | 40.7% | 5.8% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
Fresno | 16.8% | 33.7% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
Glenn | 12.4% | 48.1% | 7.9% | 18.2% | 3.3% | 10.1% |
Humboldt | 37.9% | 22.3% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 18.8% |
Imperial | 11.8% | 22.7% | 31.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 16.6% |
Inyo | 22.6% | 30.7% | 8.6% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 13.5% |
Kern | 12.1% | 40.6% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% |
Kings | 9.4% | 36.7% | 17.0% | 23.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
Lake | 37.5% | 28.4% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 10.5% |
Lassen | 13.1% | 41.7% | 2.1% | 26.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% |
Los Angeles | 32.7% | 19.6% | 21.7% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 7.0% |
Madera | 12.8% | 40.2% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% |
Marin | 64.1% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% |
Mariposa | 19.1% | 34.9% | 8.2% | 23.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% |
Mendocino | 45.2% | 17.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 14.9% |
Merced | 18.2% | 29.7% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 7.3% | 10.8% |
Modoc | 11.4% | 49.9% | 3.0% | 18.0% | 3.1% | 14.6% |
Mono | 31.6% | 26.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 13.1% |
Monterey | 37.8% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% |
Napa | 46.1% | 19.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 9.3% |
Nevada | 34.1% | 25.7% | 5.9% | 17.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% |
Orange | 24.3% | 36.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
Placer | 25.7% | 40.2% | 5.8% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
Plumas | 26.9% | 38.5% | 3.8% | 15.5% | 5.7% | 9.6% |
Riverside | 22.3% | 34.4% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
Sacramento | 29.7% | 26.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 8.7% |
San Benito | 33.6% | 23.4% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 8.9% |
San Bernardino | 19.7% | 33.9% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
San Diego | 30.5% | 32.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
San Francisco | 57.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 8.9% | 15.7% |
San Joaquin | 26.3% | 31.4% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% |
San Luis Obispo | 33.2% | 29.4% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% |
San Mateo | 55.0% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% |
Santa Barbara | 33.8% | 26.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% |
Santa Clara | 48.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% |
Santa Cruz | 52.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 12.8% |
Shasta | 16.9% | 44.3% | 3.9% | 19.9% | 4.5% | 10.5% |
Sierra | 22.9% | 35.1% | 3.7% | 17.6% | 7.1% | 13.6% |
Siskiyou | 23.3% | 34.5% | 3.4% | 18.5% | 5.0% | 15.3% |
Solano | 41.6% | 23.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% |
Sonoma | 54.6% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 9.7% |
Stanislaus | 23.2% | 31.6% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% |
Sutter | 16.4% | 40.0% | 8.3% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% |
Tehama | 13.2% | 45.4% | 4.5% | 21.6% | 4.7% | 10.6% |
Trinity | 23.6% | 31.4% | 4.7% | 17.9% | 5.4% | 17.0% |
Tulare | 13.9% | 36.5% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% |
Tuolumne | 26.8% | 37.6% | 5.7% | 15.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% |
Ventura | 26.7% | 32.6% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 7.2% |
Yolo | 31.6% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 14.6% | 13.2% |
Yuba | 16.3% | 39.6% | 7.6% | 21.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% |
Totals | 33.6% | 25.5% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[167] | Safe D | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[168] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[169] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[170] | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[171] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[172] | Likely D | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[173] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[174][e] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[175] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[176] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
Endorsements
editFederal officials
- Condoleezza Rice, former secretary of state[177]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[178]
U.S. representatives
- Newt Gingrich, former U.S. representative (R-GA-6), former Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives[179]
- Darrell Issa, U.S. representative (R-CA-49)[180]
- Kevin McCarthy, House Majority Leader (R-CA-23)[180]
- Devin Nunes, U.S. representative (R-CA-22)[180]
- Andrea Seastrand, former U.S. representative (R-CA-22)[181]
State-level officials
- Pete Wilson, 36th governor of California[182]
- Joel Anderson, California state senator (R-38)[183]
- Dan Logue, former California state assemblyman (R-3)[182]
- Alan Nakanishi, former California state assemblyman (R-10), Mayor of Lodi[182]
Local-level officials
Individuals
- Scott Baio, actor[182]
- Gary Bauer, president of the Campaign for Working Families Committee[185]
- Harmeet Dhillon, Republican National Committeewoman from California[186]
- John and Ken, talk radio hosts[187]
- Louis P. Sheldon, president of the Traditional Values Coalition[182]
- Lara Trump, campaign consultant [188]
- Lew Uhler, president of the National Tax Limitation Committee[189]
Organizations
Newspapers
- Inland Valley Daily Bulletin[182]
- Long Beach Press-Telegram[182]
- Los Angeles Daily News[182]
- The Orange County Register[191]
- Pasadena Star News[182]
- The Press-Enterprise
- Redlands Daily Facts[182]
- San Bernardino Sun
- San Gabriel Valley Tribune[182]
- Torrance Daily Breeze[182]
- Whittier Daily News[182]
- Santa Barbara News-Press[192]
Federal officials
U.S. senators
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California[194]
U.S. representatives
- Ro Khanna, U.S. representative (D-CA-17)[195]
- Eric Swalwell, U.S. representative (D-CA-15)[196]
State-level officials
- Toni Atkins, California state senator (D-36), incoming President pro tempore of the California State Senate and former Speaker of the California Assembly[197]
- Jim Beall, California state senator (D-15)[195]
- Jerry Brown, Governor of California[198]
- Jerry Hill, California state senator (D-13)
- Ash Kalra, California state assemblymember (D-27)[195]
- Connie Leyva, California state senator (D-20)[199]
- Alex Padilla, California Secretary of State[200]
- Bill Quirk, California state assemblymember (D-20)
- Richard Roth, California state senator (D-31)[201]
- Tony Thurmond, California state assemblymember (D-15)[202]
- Scott Wiener, California state senator (D-11)
Local-level officials
- Jesse Arreguin, Mayor of Berkeley[202]
- Tom Butt, Mayor of Richmond[202]
- Jose Cisneros, San Francisco Treasurer[202]
- Mark Farrell, former mayor of San Francisco[202]
- Robert Garcia, Mayor of Long Beach[203]
- Vicki Hennessy, San Francisco Sheriff[202]
- Ed Lee (deceased), former mayor of San Francisco[204]
- Alex Randolph, San Francisco City College Trustee[202]
- Ahsha Safaí, member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[202]
- Libby Schaaf, Mayor of Oakland[202]
- Jeff Sheehy, member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[202]
- Lateefah Simon, BART board member[202]
- Hilda Solis, member of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors and former US Secretary of Labor[205]
- Darrell Steinberg, Mayor of Sacramento[206]
- Antonio Villaraigosa, former mayor of Los Angeles[207]
Organizations
- California Faculty Association[208]
- California Federation of Teachers[209]
- California League of Conservation Voters[210]
- California Nurses Association[211]
- California Professional Firefighters[212]
- California Teachers Association[213]
- California Labor Federation[214]
- Equality California[215]
- Laborers' International Union of North America
- NARAL Pro-Choice California[216]
- National Union of Healthcare Workers[217][218]
- Service Employees International Union California[219]
- Sierra Club[220]
Individuals
- Gabby Giffords, former congresswoman and co-founder of Americans for Responsible Solutions[221]
- Mark Kelly, retired astronaut and co-founder of Americans for Responsible Solutions[221]
- RuPaul[222]
Newspapers
Polling
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
John Cox (R) |
None | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research[223][better source needed] | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,108 | – | 53% | 41% | – | – | – |
Research Co.[224] | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 38% | – | – | 4% |
SurveyUSA[225] | November 1–2, 2018 | 924 | ± 4.6% | 53% | 38% | – | – | 9% |
Probolsky Research[226] | October 25–30, 2018 | 900 | ± 3.3% | 47% | 37% | – | – | 16% |
Thomas Partners Strategies[227] | October 25–27, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 55% | 42% | – | – | 3% |
Gravis Marketing[228] | October 25–26, 2018 | 743 | ± 3.6% | 55% | 35% | – | – | 9% |
UC Berkeley[229] | October 19–25, 2018 | 1,339 | ± 4.0% | 58% | 40% | – | – | 2% |
YouGov[230] | October 10–24, 2018 | 2,178 | ± 3.1% | 53% | 34% | 3% | – | 10% |
Public Policy Institute of California[231] | October 12–21, 2018 | 989 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 38% | 2% | – | 10% |
Thomas Partners Strategies[232] | October 18–20, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 41% | – | – | 5% |
Emerson College[233] | October 17–19, 2018 | 671 | ± 4.1% | 52% | 32% | – | – | 16% |
SurveyUSA[234] | October 12–14, 2018 | 762 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 35% | – | – | 14% |
Thomas Partners Strategies[235] | October 12–14, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 43% | – | – | 6% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[236] | September 17 – October 14, 2018 | 794 LV | ± 4.0% | 54% | 31% | – | – | 15% |
980 RV | ± 4.0% | 51% | 30% | – | – | 19% | ||
Thomas Partners Strategies[237] | October 5–7, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 42% | – | – | 4% |
Thomas Partners Strategies[238] | September 28–30, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
Thomas Partners Strategies[239] | September 21–23, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 53% | 42% | – | – | 5% |
Vox Populi Polling[240] | September 16–18, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 60% | 40% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Institute of California[241] | September 9–18, 2018 | 964 | ± 4.8% | 51% | 39% | 3% | – | 7% |
Thomas Partners Strategies[242] | September 14–16, 2018 | 1,040 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 41% | – | – | 14% |
Ipsos[243] | September 5–14, 2018 | 1,021 | ± 4.0% | 52% | 40% | – | 3% | 6% |
Thomas Partners Strategies[244] | September 7–9, 2018 | 1,227 | ± 3.3% | 48% | 40% | – | – | 12% |
Probolsky Research[245] | August 29 – September 2, 2018 | 900 | ± 5.8% | 44% | 39% | – | – | 17% |
Public Policy Institute of California[246] | July 8–17, 2018 | 1,020 | ± 4.3% | 55% | 31% | 5% | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA[247] | June 26–27, 2018 | 559 | ± 5.9% | 58% | 29% | – | – | 13% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[248] | June 6–17, 2018 | 767 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 28% | – | – | 27% |
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research[142] | March 30 – April 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 32% | – | – | 26% |
with Newsom and Chiang
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
John Chiang (D) |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global Strategy Group (D-Chiang)[149] | January 27 – February 1, 2018 | 500 | 44% | 30% | – |
Public Policy Polling[164] | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | 30% | 37% | 33% |
with Newsom and Villaraigosa
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research[142] | March 30 – April 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.7% | 38% | 21% | 41% |
Public Policy Polling[164] | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | – | 42% | 22% | 36% |
with Villaraigosa and Garcetti
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Eric Garcetti (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[164] | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | 28% | 30% | 42% |
Results
editNewsom won the general election by the largest margin of any California gubernatorial candidate since Earl Warren's re-election in 1950. In addition to winning the traditional Democratic strongholds of the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles County, Sacramento, and North Coast, Newsom performed well in the traditionally swing Central Coast, San Bernardino County, and San Diego County, as well as narrowly winning traditionally Republican Orange County – the latter voting for a Democrat for the first time in a gubernatorial election since Jerry Brown's first re-election in 1978. Cox did well in the state's more rural areas, even flipping Stanislaus County; Stanislaus is the only county that voted for Brown in 2014 but flipped to Cox in 2018. Cox also narrowly won Fresno County and Riverside County in the Inland Empire in addition to handily winning traditionally Republican Kern County in the Central Valley.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gavin Newsom | 7,721,410 | 61.95% | +1.98% | |
Republican | John H. Cox | 4,742,825 | 38.05% | −1.98% | |
Total votes | 12,464,235 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Turnout | 12,712,542 | 64.54% | |||
Registered electors | 19,696,371 | ||||
Democratic hold |
By county
editBlue represents counties won by Newsom. Red represents counties won by Cox.[250]
County | Gavin Newsom
Democratic |
John Cox
Republican |
Total Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | |
Alameda | 462,558 | 80.6% | 111,677 | 19.4% | 574,235 |
Alpine | 386 | 62.8% | 229 | 37.2% | 615 |
Amador | 6,237 | 35.5% | 11,356 | 64.5% | 17,593 |
Butte | 41,500 | 46.8% | 47,226 | 53.2% | 88,726 |
Calaveras | 7,765 | 35.9% | 13,845 | 64.1% | 21,610 |
Colusa | 1,999 | 34.7% | 3,764 | 65.3% | 5,763 |
Contra Costa | 283,805 | 68.2% | 132,345 | 31.8% | 416,150 |
Del Norte | 3,441 | 41.3% | 4,887 | 58.7% | 8,328 |
El Dorado | 36,297 | 40.6% | 53,140 | 59.4% | 89,437 |
Fresno | 124,332 | 49.1% | 128,974 | 50.9% | 253,306 |
Glenn | 2,424 | 29.1% | 5,908 | 70.9% | 8,332 |
Humboldt | 33,455 | 64.5% | 18,418 | 35.5% | 51,873 |
Imperial | 20,573 | 61.7% | 12,785 | 38.3% | 33,358 |
Inyo | 3,244 | 44.7% | 4,018 | 55.3% | 7,262 |
Kern | 83,507 | 41.1% | 119,870 | 58.9% | 203,377 |
Kings | 12,275 | 40.6% | 17,976 | 59.4% | 30,251 |
Lake | 10,869 | 51.4% | 10,280 | 48.6% | 21,149 |
Lassen | 2,043 | 22.7% | 6,973 | 77.3% | 9,016 |
Los Angeles | 2,114,699 | 71.9% | 826,402 | 28.1% | 2,941,101 |
Madera | 15,037 | 39.0% | 23,488 | 61.0% | 38,525 |
Marin | 103,671 | 79.5% | 26,750 | 20.5% | 130,421 |
Mariposa | 3,183 | 38.7% | 5,043 | 61.3% | 8,226 |
Mendocino | 22,152 | 66.3% | 11,255 | 33.7% | 33,407 |
Merced | 30,783 | 52.0% | 28,424 | 48.0% | 59,207 |
Modoc | 820 | 23.8% | 2,628 | 76.2% | 3,448 |
Mono | 2,706 | 55.8% | 2,147 | 44.2% | 4,853 |
Monterey | 76,648 | 66.0% | 39,516 | 34.0% | 116,164 |
Napa | 36,513 | 64.8% | 19,834 | 35.2% | 56,347 |
Nevada | 27,985 | 52.9% | 24,882 | 47.1% | 52,867 |
Orange | 543,047 | 50.1% | 539,951 | 49.9% | 1,082,998 |
Placer | 72,270 | 41.2% | 103,157 | 58.8% | 175,427 |
Plumas | 3,433 | 37.2% | 5,807 | 62.8% | 9,240 |
Riverside | 319,845 | 49.8% | 322,243 | 50.2% | 642,088 |
Sacramento | 302,696 | 58.8% | 212,010 | 41.2% | 514,706 |
San Benito | 11,274 | 56.1% | 8,815 | 43.9% | 20,089 |
San Bernardino | 276,874 | 51.5% | 260,379 | 48.5% | 537,253 |
San Diego | 658,346 | 56.9% | 499,532 | 43.1% | 1,157,878 |
San Francisco | 312,181 | 86.4% | 49,181 | 13.6% | 361,362 |
San Joaquin | 101,474 | 52.2% | 92,966 | 47.8% | 194,440 |
San Luis Obispo | 65,117 | 51.6% | 61,137 | 48.4% | 126,254 |
San Mateo | 213,282 | 75.2% | 70,242 | 24.8% | 283,524 |
Santa Barbara | 93,841 | 60.5% | 61,300 | 39.5% | 155,141 |
Santa Clara | 438,758 | 71.4% | 175,791 | 28.6% | 614,549 |
Santa Cruz | 91,523 | 76.8% | 27,665 | 23.2% | 119,188 |
Shasta | 20,256 | 28.9% | 49,825 | 71.1% | 70,081 |
Sierra | 599 | 35.9% | 1,068 | 64.1% | 1,667 |
Siskiyou | 7,218 | 39.7% | 10,946 | 60.3% | 18,164 |
Solano | 89,694 | 61.3% | 56,627 | 38.7% | 146,321 |
Sonoma | 152,040 | 72.3% | 58,338 | 27.7% | 210,378 |
Stanislaus | 77,220 | 49.2% | 79,751 | 50.8% | 156,971 |
Sutter | 11,122 | 37.0% | 18,953 | 63.0% | 30,075 |
Tehama | 5,756 | 27.5% | 15,137 | 72.5% | 20,893 |
Trinity | 2,250 | 42.3% | 3,075 | 57.7% | 5,325 |
Tulare | 42,702 | 42.8% | 57,012 | 57.2% | 99,714 |
Tuolumne | 9,294 | 38.9% | 14,580 | 61.1% | 23,874 |
Ventura | 171,729 | 55.6% | 137,393 | 44.4% | 309,122 |
Yolo | 49,759 | 67.8% | 23,611 | 32.2% | 73,370 |
Yuba | 6,903 | 36.0% | 12,293 | 64.0% | 19,196 |
Totals | 7,721,410 | 61.9% | 4,742,825 | 38.1% | 12,464,235 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Orange (largest municipality: Anaheim)
- San Bernardino (largest municipality: San Bernardino)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Stanislaus (largest municipality: Modesto)
By congressional district
editNewsom won 42 of the 53 congressional districts. Cox won 11, including four won by Democrats.[251]
District | Cox | Newsom | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 61.21% | 38.79% | Doug LaMalfa |
2nd | 27.88% | 72.12% | Jared Huffman |
3rd | 47.59% | 52.41% | John Garamendi |
4th | 59.49% | 40.51% | Tom McClintock |
5th | 30.0% | 70.0% | Mike Thompson |
6th | 30.63% | 69.37% | Doris Matsui |
7th | 48.04% | 51.96% | Ami Bera |
8th | 59.77% | 40.23% | Paul Cook |
9th | 46.05% | 53.95% | Jerry McNerney |
10th | 50.49% | 49.51% | Josh Harder |
11th | 29.45% | 70.55% | Mark DeSaulnier |
12th | 12.86% | 87.14% | Nancy Pelosi |
13th | 9.82% | 90.18% | Barbara Lee |
14th | 24.04% | 75.96% | Jackie Speier |
15th | 30.95% | 69.05% | Eric Swalwell |
16th | 43.91% | 56.09% | Jim Costa |
17th | 28.47% | 71.53% | Ro Khanna |
18th | 27.46% | 72.54% | Anna Eshoo |
19th | 29.68% | 70.32% | Zoe Lofgren |
20th | 29.77% | 70.23% | Jimmy Panetta |
21st | 47.88% | 52.12% | TJ Cox |
22nd | 56.81% | 43.19% | Devin Nunes |
23rd | 62.62% | 37.38% | Kevin McCarthy |
24th | 43.41% | 56.59% | Salud Carbajal |
25th | 48.94% | 51.06% | Katie Hill |
26th | 42.69% | 57.31% | Julia Brownley |
27th | 34.87% | 65.13% | Judy Chu |
28th | 24.68% | 75.32% | Adam Schiff |
29th | 22.17% | 77.83% | Tony Cárdenas |
30th | 30.09% | 69.91% | Brad Sherman |
31st | 43.4% | 56.6% | Pete Aguilar |
32nd | 34.83% | 65.17% | Grace Napolitano |
33rd | 32.3% | 67.7% | Ted Lieu |
34th | 15.5% | 84.5% | Jimmy Gomez |
35th | 34.35% | 65.65% | Norma Torres |
36th | 46.83% | 53.17% | Raul Ruiz |
37th | 13.7% | 86.3% | Karen Bass |
38th | 34.66% | 65.34% | Linda Sánchez |
39th | 50.39% | 49.61% | Gil Cisneros |
40th | 19.52% | 80.48% | Lucille Roybal-Allard |
41st | 40.62% | 59.38% | Mark Takano |
42nd | 58.8% | 41.2% | Ken Calvert |
43rd | 22.04% | 77.96% | Maxine Waters |
44th | 18.63% | 81.37% | Nanette Barragán |
45th | 50.58% | 49.42% | Katie Porter |
46th | 36.19% | 63.81% | Lou Correa |
47th | 38.3% | 61.7% | Alan Lowenthal |
48th | 52.12% | 47.88% | Harley Rouda |
49th | 48.51% | 51.49% | Mike Levin |
50th | 59.05% | 40.95% | Duncan Hunter |
51st | 32.08% | 67.92% | Juan Vargas |
52nd | 41.71% | 58.29% | Scott Peters |
53rd | 35.08% | 64.92% | Susan Davis |
Voter demographics
editDemographic subgroup | Newsom | Cox | % of total vote |
---|---|---|---|
Ideology | |||
Liberals | 90 | 10 | 34 |
Moderates | 59 | 41 | 37 |
Conservatives | 16 | 84 | 29 |
Party | |||
Democrats | 93 | 7 | 46 |
Republicans | 7 | 93 | 23 |
Independents | 53 | 47 | 31 |
Party by gender | |||
Democratic men | 92 | 8 | 18 |
Democratic women | 93 | 7 | 28 |
Republican men | 6 | 94 | 12 |
Republican women | 9 | 91 | 10 |
Independent men | 53 | 47 | 18 |
Independent women | 54 | 46 | 13 |
Gender | |||
Men | 56 | 44 | 48 |
Women | 65 | 35 | 52 |
Marital status | |||
Married | 57 | 43 | 57 |
Unmarried | 65 | 35 | 43 |
Gender by marital status | |||
Married men | 53 | 47 | 35 |
Married women | 64 | 36 | 22 |
Unmarried men | 58 | 42 | 19 |
Unmarried women | 68 | 32 | 24 |
Race and ethnicity | |||
White | 57 | 43 | 63 |
Black | 84 | 16 | 6 |
Latino | 64 | 36 | 19 |
Asian | 65 | 35 | 8 |
Other | 71 | 29 | 3 |
Gender by race and ethnicity | |||
White men | 54 | 46 | 31 |
White women | 59 | 41 | 32 |
Black men | 78 | 22 | 2 |
Black women | 87 | 13 | 4 |
Latino men | 61 | 39 | 9 |
Latino women | 67 | 33 | 10 |
Others | 67 | 33 | 11 |
Religion | |||
Protestant, Other Christian | 46 | 54 | 34 |
Catholic | 56 | 44 | 21 |
Jewish | 72 | 28 | 4 |
Other religion | 76 | 24 | 10 |
No religion | 79 | 21 | 31 |
Religious service attendance | |||
Weekly or more | 46 | 54 | 21 |
A few times a month | 56 | 44 | 13 |
A few times a year | 71 | 29 | 23 |
Never | 69 | 31 | 43 |
White evangelical or born-again Christian | |||
Yes | 18 | 82 | 11 |
No | 65 | 35 | 89 |
Age | |||
18–24 years old | 72 | 28 | 8 |
25–29 years old | 66 | 34 | 7 |
30–39 years old | 65 | 35 | 15 |
40–49 years old | 58 | 42 | 14 |
50–64 years old | 56 | 44 | 29 |
65 and older | 57 | 43 | 27 |
Sexual orientation | |||
LGBT | 83 | 17 | 5 |
Heterosexual | 58 | 42 | 95 |
First time voter | |||
First time voter | 69 | 31 | 18 |
Everyone else | 58 | 42 | 82 |
Education | |||
High school or less | 58 | 42 | 19 |
Some college education | 56 | 44 | 29 |
Associate degree | 60 | 40 | 13 |
Bachelor's degree | 65 | 35 | 24 |
Advanced degree | 63 | 37 | 16 |
Education by race and ethnicity | |||
White college graduates | 59 | 41 | 28 |
White no college degree | 55 | 45 | 35 |
Non-white college graduates | 78 | 22 | 11 |
Non-white no college degree | 64 | 36 | 25 |
Education by race, ethnicity, and sex | |||
White women with college degrees | 62 | 38 | 13 |
White women without college degrees | 56 | 44 | 19 |
White men with college degrees | 56 | 44 | 15 |
White men without college degrees | 52 | 48 | 17 |
Non-whites | 68 | 32 | 36 |
Family income | |||
Under $30,000 | 57 | 43 | 17 |
$30,000–49,999 | 66 | 34 | 21 |
$50,000–99,999 | 55 | 45 | 22 |
$100,000–199,999 | 45 | 55 | 27 |
Over $200,000 | 41 | 59 | 13 |
Military service | |||
Veterans | 32 | 68 | 14 |
Non-veterans | 64 | 36 | 86 |
Issue regarded as most important | |||
Health care | 85 | 15 | 43 |
Immigration | 36 | 64 | 18 |
Economy | 35 | 65 | 21 |
Gun policy | 66 | 34 | 15 |
See also
editReferences
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- ^ Newsom, Gavin [@GavinNewsom] (February 8, 2018). "Beyond thrilled to have the support of @SenatorLeyva, a fearless defender of equality and champion for working people across our state!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Seema Mehta. "California Secretary of State Alex Padilla backs Gavin Newsom for governor over former colleague Antonio Villaraigosa". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved April 4, 2018.
- ^ Newsom, Gavin [@GavinNewsom] (November 10, 2017). "Honored and thrilled to have the support of veteran and CA State Senator @GeneralRoth! Excited to have you on the team!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k "Bay Area Mayors Libby Schaaf and Jesse Arreguin Endorse Gavin Newsom for Governor" (PDF). Gavin for Governor (Press release). October 16, 2017. Retrieved February 22, 2019.
- ^ "California politics news feed". Los Angeles Times.
- ^ Willon, Phil (March 29, 2017). "San Francisco Mayor Ed Lee picks his candidate in the 2018 governor's race". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved March 30, 2017., Governor Jerry Brown Governor Jerry Brown
- ^ Mehta, Seema. "Latino support becomes a flashpoint in race for California governor". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
- ^ "California politics news feed". Los Angeles Times.
- ^ Mehta, Seema (June 5, 2018). "Villaraigosa endorses Newsom, says he looks forward to taking his new wife on a honeymoon". Los Angeles Times.
- ^ "The California Faculty Association endorses Gavin Newsom for California Governor in 2018 – California Faculty Association". Calfac.org. Archived from the original on June 23, 2018. Retrieved April 4, 2018.
- ^ "California Federation of Teachers Condemns Trump's Decision to End". Cft.org. September 5, 2017. Retrieved April 4, 2018.[permanent dead link ]
- ^ "Endorsements".
- ^ Panzar, Javier (December 2, 2015). "California nurses union endorses Gavin Newsom in governor's race". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved March 29, 2017.
- ^ Phil Willon. "State firefighters' union endorses Gavin Newsom for governor". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved April 4, 2018.
- ^ "- California Teachers Association". cta.org. Archived from the original on October 22, 2017. Retrieved October 21, 2017.
- ^ "2018 General Election Endorsements". California Labor Federation. Archived from the original on October 9, 2018. Retrieved February 22, 2019.
- ^ "Equality California Endorses Gavin Newsom for California Governor | Equality California". Eqca.org. January 30, 2018. Retrieved April 4, 2018.
- ^ "Pro-Choice Voter Guide 2018". NARAL Pro-Choice California. Archived from the original on August 1, 2018. Retrieved February 22, 2019.
- ^ "California health care workers vote to endorse Newsom". LGBT Weekly. Archived from the original on October 23, 2017. Retrieved October 23, 2017.
- ^ "Single-Payer Health Pledge Nets Major Union Endorsement for Gavin Newsom". Times of San Diego. October 23, 2017.
- ^ Roth, Mike. "SEIU California Endorses Gavin Newsom for Governor". SEIU California. Archived from the original on February 14, 2018. Retrieved February 14, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Endorsements". November 28, 2017. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
- ^ a b Mehta, Seema. "Gabrielle Giffords and Mark Kelly to endorse Gavin Newsom for governor today". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
- ^ "RuPaul Endorses Gavin Newsom for California Governor – Vote on June 5th". YouTube. Retrieved July 24, 2018.
- ^ Change Research
- ^ Research Co.
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Probolsky Research
- ^ Thomas Partners Strategies
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ UC Berkeley
- ^ YouGov [permanent dead link ]
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ Thomas Partners Strategies
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Thomas Partners Strategies
- ^ USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
- ^ Thomas Partners Strategies
- ^ Thomas Partners Strategies
- ^ Thomas Partners Strategies
- ^ Vox Populi Polling
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ Thomas Partners Strategies Archived 2018-09-25 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Ipsos
- ^ Thomas Partners Strategies
- ^ Probolsky Research
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
- ^ "Complete Statement of Vote" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved December 14, 2018.
- ^ "Governor – Statewide Results PDF" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved January 7, 2019.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos.
- ^ "California gubernatorial election results". CNN. Retrieved November 7, 2018.
External links
editOfficial campaign websites