The 2002 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 5, 2002. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Tom Harkin sought re-election to a fourth term in office. Harkin was opposed in the general election by U.S. Congressman Greg Ganske, who fought off a difficult challenger in the Republican primary. Though Harkin narrowly defeated his opponent six years earlier, he was able to defeat Ganske by a comfortable margin to win re-election.
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County results Harkin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Ganske: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
editCandidates
edit- Tom Harkin, incumbent United States Senator
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom Harkin (incumbent) | 83,505 | 99.34% | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 555 | 0.66% | |
Total votes | 84,060 | 100.00% |
Republican primary
editCandidates
edit- Greg Ganske, U.S. Representative from Des Moines
- Bill Salier, hog farmer
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Ganske | 116,229 | 58.97% | |
Republican | Bill Salier | 80,700 | 40.95% | |
Republican | Write-ins | 167 | 0.08% | |
Total votes | 197,096 | 100.00% |
General election
editDebates
edit- Complete video of debate, October 6, 2002
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Sabato's Crystal Ball[2] | Lean D | November 4, 2002 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Tom Harkin (D) |
Greg Ganske (R) |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[3] | October 27–29, 2002 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 60% | 38% | 2% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom Harkin (incumbent) | 554,278 | 54.18% | +2.37% | |
Republican | Greg Ganske | 447,892 | 43.78% | −2.94% | |
Green | Timothy A. Harthan | 11,340 | 1.11% | ||
Libertarian | Richard J. Moore | 8,864 | 0.87% | ||
Write-in | 701 | 0.06% | |||
Majority | 106,386 | 10.40% | +5.30% | ||
Turnout | 1,023,075 | ||||
Democratic hold | Swing |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
edit- Adair (Largest city: Greenfield)
- Adams (Largest city: Corning)
- Allamakee (Largest city: Waukon)
- Audubon (Largest city: Audubon)
- Calhoun (Largest city: Rockwell City)
- Carroll (Largest city: Carroll)
- Cherokee (Largest city: Cherokee)
- Clay (Largest city: Spencer)
- Decatur (Largest city: Lamoni)
- Franklin (Largest city: Hampton)
- Guthrie (Largest city: Guthrie Center)
- Hancock (Largest city: Garner)
- Hardin (Largest city: Iowa Falls)
- Kossuth (Largest city: Algona)
- Monona (Largest city: Onawa)
- Pocahontas (Largest city: Pocahontas)
- Ringgold (Largest city: Mount Ayr)
- Taylor (Largest city: Bedford)
- Union (Largest city: Creston)
- Woodbury (Largest city: Sioux City)
- Wright (Largest city: Eagle Grove)
- Louisa (largest city: Wapello)
- Buena Vista (largest city: Storm Lake)
- Humboldt (largest city: Humboldt)
- Ida (largest city: Ida Grove)
- Sac (largest city: Sac City)
- Dickinson (Largest city: Spirit Lake)
- Wayne (Largest city: Corydon)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
edit- Delaware (Largest city: Manchester)
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
edit- ^ a b "Election: 2002 Primary Election (6/4/2002)" (PDF). State of Iowa Secretary of State.
- ^ "Senate Races". www.centerforpolitics.org. November 4, 2002. Archived from the original on November 18, 2002. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002" (PDF). U.S. Government Printing Office. p. 15.