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Spatio-temporal self-supervised learning for traffic flow prediction

Published: 07 February 2023 Publication History

Abstract

Robust prediction of citywide traffic flows at different time periods plays a crucial role in intelligent transportation systems. While previous work has made great efforts to model spatio-temporal correlations, existing methods still suffer from two key limitations: i) Most models collectively predict all regions' flows without accounting for spatial heterogeneity, i.e., different regions may have skewed traffic flow distributions. ii) These models fail to capture the temporal heterogeneity induced by time-varying traffic patterns, as they typically model temporal correlations with a shared parameterized space for all time periods. To tackle these challenges, we propose a novel Spatio-Temporal Self-Supervised Learning (ST-SSL) traffic prediction framework which enhances the traffic pattern representations to be reflective of both spatial and temporal heterogeneity, with auxiliary self-supervised learning paradigms. Specifically, our ST-SSL is built over an integrated module with temporal and spatial convolutions for encoding the information across space and time. To achieve the adaptive spatio-temporal self-supervised learning, our ST-SSL first performs the adaptive augmentation over the traffic flow graph data at both attribute-and structure-levels. On top of the augmented traffic graph, two SSL auxiliary tasks are constructed to supplement the main traffic prediction task with spatial and temporal heterogeneity-aware augmentation. Experiments on four benchmark datasets demonstrate that ST-SSL consistently outperforms various state-of-the-art baselines. Since spatio-temporal heterogeneity widely exists in practical datasets, the proposed framework may also cast light on other spatial-temporal applications.

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cover image Guide Proceedings
AAAI'23/IAAI'23/EAAI'23: Proceedings of the Thirty-Seventh AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Thirty-Fifth Conference on Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence and Thirteenth Symposium on Educational Advances in Artificial Intelligence
February 2023
16496 pages
ISBN:978-1-57735-880-0

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Published: 07 February 2023

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  • (2024)Multi-modality spatio-temporal forecasting via self-supervised learningProceedings of the Thirty-Third International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence10.24963/ijcai.2024/223(2018-2026)Online publication date: 3-Aug-2024
  • (2024)KGDA: A Knowledge Graph Driven Decomposition Approach for Cellular Traffic PredictionACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems and Technology10.1145/369065015:6(1-22)Online publication date: 20-Nov-2024
  • (2024)HydroNet: A Spatio-temporal Graph Neural Network for Modeling Hydraulic Dependencies in Urban Wastewater SystemsProceedings of the 32nd ACM International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information Systems10.1145/3678717.3695761(717-718)Online publication date: 29-Oct-2024
  • (2024)Enhancing Dependency Dynamics in Traffic Flow Forecasting via Graph Risk BootstrapProceedings of the 32nd ACM International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information Systems10.1145/3678717.3691237(147-159)Online publication date: 29-Oct-2024
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