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Robust design of countercyclical capital buffer rules

Author

Listed:
  • Hecker, Dominik
  • Jang, Hun
  • Rubio, Margarita
  • Verona, Fabio

Abstract

In this paper, we design countercyclical capital buffer rules that perform robustly across a wide range of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models. These rules offer valuable guidance for policymakers uncertain about the most appropriate model(s) for decision-making. Our results show that robust rules call for a relatively restrained response from macroprudential authorities. The cost of insuring against model uncertainty is moderate, emphasizing the practicality of following these robust countercyclical capital buffer rules in uncertain economic environments.

Suggested Citation

  • Hecker, Dominik & Jang, Hun & Rubio, Margarita & Verona, Fabio, 2024. "Robust design of countercyclical capital buffer rules," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2024, Bank of Finland.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bofrdp:305273
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    Keywords

    countercyclical capital buffers; macroprudential policy; model comparison; structural models; model uncertainty; robust rule;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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