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The impact of the results of football matches on the stock prices of soccer clubs

Author

Listed:
  • Robert Ślepaczuk

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences, Quantitative Finance Research Group, University of Warsaw)

  • Igor Wabik

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to study the relationship between sport results and stock prices of European football clubs. To show that connection, we use two econometric models. Firstly, we conduct an event study analysis around the dates of football games to look for existence of abnormal returns. Secondly, we use OLS regression to test what effect the unexpected part of the result has. Based on 2239 observations of football matches results played between 01/08/2016 and 02/03/2020, we find significant relationship between sport results and financial performance. Significant negative abnormal returns are observed around defeats and draws, while for wins the impact is unclear. Using second model, we find positive values for coefficients related to unexpected number of points, which can be an additional evidence of a link between football results and stock prices. Finally, we see the potential for systematic trading strategy on soccer stocks based on the presented results. Such algo strategy with market neutral characteristic should beat the market regardless of market conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Ślepaczuk & Igor Wabik, 2020. "The impact of the results of football matches on the stock prices of soccer clubs," Working Papers 2020-35, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    • Handle: RePEc:war:wpaper:2020-35
    as

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    File URL: https://www.wne.uw.edu.pl/index.php/download_file/5900/
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    soccer stock returns; event study analysis; algorithmic investment strategies; market neutral strategy; sports efficiency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C4 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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