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Contracts with Wishful Thinkers

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Abstract

Managers with anticipatory emotions have higher current utility if they are optimistic about the future. We study an employment contract between an (endogenously) optimistic manager and realistic investors. The manager faces a trade-off between ensuring that the chosen levels of effort reflect accurate news and savoring emotionally beneficial good news. We show that optimism may exacerbate incentive problems. Specifically, investors and manager agree over the optimal news recall when the manager's weight on anticipatory utility is low. For intermediate values, there is a conflict of interest and investors bear an extra-cost to have the manager recalling bad news. For high weights on anticipatory utility, investors become indifferent between inducing signal recollection or not, and a pooling equilibrium obtains, reminiscent of adverse selection models. We then extend the analysis to the case in which the parameter capturing anticipatory utility is the manager's private information. Last, we derive interesting testable predictions on the relationship between personality traits, managerial compensation and hiring policies.In a setting with a wishful thinking agent and a realistic principal, the paper studies how incentive contracts should be designed to control for both moral hazard and self-deception. The properties of the contract that reconciles the agent with reality depend on the weight the agent attaches to anticipatory utility. When this is small, principal and agent agree on full recollection. For intermediate values the principal bears an extra cost to make the agent recall bad news. For large weights the principal renounces inducing signal recollection. We extend the analysis to the case in which the parameter of anticipatory utility is private information. The distinction between the two settings assumes practical relevance if preferences can be related to personality characteristics as in this case the parameter of anticipatory utility could be learned through psychological testing.

Suggested Citation

  • Annamaria Menichini & Giovanni Immordino & Maria Grazia Romano, 2010. "Contracts with Wishful Thinkers," CSEF Working Papers 258, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy, revised 28 Oct 2012.
    • Handle: RePEc:sef:csefwp:258
    Note: A previous version has been circulated under the title “Optimal Compensation Contracts for Optimistic Managers.
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Camerer, Colin F & Hogarth, Robin M, 1999. "The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 19(1-3), pages 7-42, December.
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    6. Giovanni Immordino & Anna Maria C. Menichini & Maria Grazia Romano, 2015. "Contracts with Wishful Thinkers," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(4), pages 863-886, October.
    7. Cooper, Arnold C. & Woo, Carolyn Y. & Dunkelberg, William C., 1988. "Entrepreneurs' perceived chances for success," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 97-108.
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    Cited by:

    1. Luc Bridet & Peter Schwardmann, 2020. "Selling Dreams: Endogenous Optimism in Lending Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 8271, CESifo.
    2. Giovanni Immordino & Anna Maria C. Menichini & Maria Grazia Romano, 2015. "Contracts with Wishful Thinkers," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(4), pages 863-886, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Self-deception; anticipatory utility; contracts;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D03 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Behavioral Microeconomics: Underlying Principles
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • D86 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Economics of Contract Law

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