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Capital-Reallocation Frictions and Trade Shocks

Author

Listed:
  • Andrea Lanteri

    (Duke University)

  • Eugene Tan

    (Duke University)

  • Pamela Medina

    (University of Toronto)

Abstract

What are the short- and medium-run aggregate effects of an international-trade shock that increases competition for domestic manufacturing industries? In this paper, we address this question by combining detailed firm-level investment data from several manufacturing industries in Peru, data on the import penetration of Chinese manufacturing goods in Peru, and a quantitative general-equilibrium model of trade with heterogeneous firms subject to idiosyncratic shocks. We find evidence of large frictions in disinvestment (i.e., capital reallocation), that induce high persistence of low returns from capital at the firm level, and dampen the empirical response of reallocation to Chinese import competition. In our calibrated model, these frictions play a key role in the dynamic response of the economy to an import-competition shock, inducing slow transitional dynamics and several years of low aggregate productivity, while the distribution of firm-level capital and productivity adjusts to the new steady state.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrea Lanteri & Eugene Tan & Pamela Medina, 2019. "Capital-Reallocation Frictions and Trade Shocks," 2019 Meeting Papers 1078, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed019:1078
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    2. Isaac Baley & Andrés Blanco, 2021. "Aggregate Dynamics in Lumpy Economies," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(3), pages 1235-1264, May.
    3. Christian Keuschnigg & Michael Kogler, 2022. "Trade and credit reallocation: How banks help shape comparative advantage," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 282-305, February.
    4. Fabio Ghironi & Daisoon Kim & Galip Kemal Ozhan, 2024. "International Economic Sanctions and Third-Country Effects," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(2), pages 611-652, June.
    5. Claire Giordano, 2023. "Revisiting the real exchange rate misalignment‐economic growth nexus via the across‐sector misallocation channel," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 1329-1384, September.
    6. Esposito, Federico & Hassan, Fadi, 2023. "Import competition, trade credit and financial frictions in general equilibrium," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121378, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Farrokhi, Farid & Lashkaripour, Ahmad & Pellegrina, Heitor S., 2024. "Trade and technology adoption in distorted economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    8. David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Michal Szkup, 2021. "Financial Frictions and International Trade," Documentos de Trabajo 563, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    9. Esposito, Federico & Hassan, Fadi, 2023. "Import Competition, Trade Credit, and Financial Frictions in General Equilibrium," CEPR Discussion Papers 17926, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Le Xu & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Adoption and Termination of Suppliers over the Business Cycle," Economics Series Working Papers 1040, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    11. Xu, Le & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2024. "The Adoption and Termination of Suppliers over the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 18976, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    12. Müller, Isabella, 2020. "Trade shocks, credit reallocation and the role of specialisation: Evidence from syndicated lending," IWH Discussion Papers 15/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • L60 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - General
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O19 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations

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