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How Do Household Coping Strategies Evolve with Increased Food Insecurity? An Examination of Nigeria’s Food Price Shock of 2015-2018

Author

Listed:
  • Justin Quinton
  • Glenn Jenkins

    (Queen's University)

  • Godwin Olasehinde-Williams

    (Department of Economics, Istanbul Ticaret University, Turkey)

Abstract

Faced with a significant devaluation of its currency and a surge in food prices, the Nigerian government prohibited the use of foreign currency for food imports. This essentially blocked the importation of numerous food items under the guise of stimulating domestic output of these staples. Consequently, food prices in Nigeria increased despite a global decline in food prices, and the incidence and severity of food insecurity escalated. This study examines the changes in the types and severity of coping mechanisms for food insecurity resulting from the food price shock caused by the oil price crash, currency devaluation and restrictions on foreign exchange. Nigeria’s General Household Survey Panel data from 2012 and 2015, during periods of high oil prices, is compared with data from 2018 when oil prices had remained low, the currency had been devalued, and the treasury had been depleted. Alongside detailed descriptive statistics, logistic and hurdle regressions are employed for statistical analysis. Findings indicate a rise in the percentage of Nigerian households grappling with food insecurity from 2015 to 2018. During this period, 68.7% of households resorted to at least one coping mechanism, 31.8% adopted six or more coping strategies, and 43.2% resorted to severe coping strategies. The issue stems not primarily from natural disasters or conflicts but from a failure in macroeconomic and agricultural economic policies. Our findings confirm that these policies come at great cost, particularly to female-headed households, single-parent households, households headed by elderly people, and other vulnerable populations, pushing them deeper into food insecurity.

Suggested Citation

  • Justin Quinton & Glenn Jenkins & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams, 2024. "How Do Household Coping Strategies Evolve with Increased Food Insecurity? An Examination of Nigeria’s Food Price Shock of 2015-2018," Working Paper 1520, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    • Handle: RePEc:qed:wpaper:1520
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Food insecurity; Nigeria; Oil price; Economic shock; Food policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D10 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - General
    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade

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