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Fiscal Policy, Public Debt Stabilization and Politics: Theory and Evidence from the US and UK

Author

Listed:
  • Lockwood, Ben
  • Philippopoulos, Apostolis
  • Snell, Andy

Abstract

This paper presents a two-party model of fiscal and debt policy which; (i) explicitly models the partisan, stabilisation, and (to some extent) survival motives of politicians; (ii) has predictions that are largely consistent with existing empirical findings about partisan and electoral effects in government expenditure, tax revenue, and debt; (iii) yields new predictions about how the feedback of fiscal policy on lagged debt may depend on partisan and electoral effects. These new predictions are not rejected by a test of the model on US and UK data.

Suggested Citation

  • Lockwood, Ben & Philippopoulos, Apostolis & Snell, Andy, 1994. "Fiscal Policy, Public Debt Stabilization and Politics: Theory and Evidence from the US and UK," Discussion Papers 9401, University of Exeter, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:exe:wpaper:9401
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    Keywords

    Political business cycles; stabilization; fiscal policy; public debt.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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