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Roger M. Cooke

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First Name:Roger
Middle Name:M.
Last Name:Cooke
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RePEc Short-ID:pco491
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Terminal Degree:1974 (from RePEc Genealogy)

Research output

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Working papers

  1. Rennert, Kevin & Prest, Brian C. & Pizer, William & Newell, Richard G. & Anthoff, David & Kingdon, Cora & Rennels, Lisa & Cooke, Roger & Raftery, Adrian E. & Ševčíková, Hana & Errickson, Frank, 2021. "The Social Cost of Carbon: Advances in Long-Term Probabilistic Projections of Population, GDP, Emissions, and Discount Rates," RFF Working Paper Series 21-28, Resources for the Future.
  2. Cooke, Roger & Golub, Alexander, 2019. "Market-Based Methods for Monetizing Uncertainty Reduction: A Case Study," RFF Working Paper Series 19-15, Resources for the Future.
  3. Lutter, Randall & Colson, Abigail & Cooke, Roger, 2017. "Effects of Increases in IQ in India on the Present Value of Lifetime Earnings: A Structured Expert Judgment Study," RFF Working Paper Series 17-18, Resources for the Future.
  4. Cooke, Roger M. & Golub, Alexander & Wielicki, Bruce A. & Mlynczak, Martin G. & Young, David F. & Baize, Rosemary R., 2016. "Real Option Value for New Measurements of Cloud Radiative Forcing," RFF Working Paper Series dp-16-19, Resources for the Future.
  5. Colson, Abigail & Cooke, Roger & Lutter, Virginia, 2016. "Full title How Does Breastfeeding Affect IQ? Applying the Classical Model of Structured Expert Judgment," RFF Working Paper Series dp-16-28, Resources for the Future.
  6. Cooke, Roger M., 2014. "Deep and Shallow Uncertainty in Messaging Climate Change," RFF Working Paper Series dp-14-11, Resources for the Future.
  7. Cooke, Roger M. & Ross, Heather L. & Stern, Adam, 2011. "Precursor Analysis for Offshore Oil and Gas Drilling: From Prescriptive to Risk-Informed Regulation," RFF Working Paper Series dp-10-61, Resources for the Future.
  8. Cooke, Roger M., 2011. "A shapley value approach to pricing climate risks," Economics Discussion Papers 2011-17, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  9. Cooke, Roger M. & Nieboer, Daan, 2011. "Heavy-Tailed Distributions: Data, Diagnostics, and New Developments," RFF Working Paper Series dp-11-19, Resources for the Future.
  10. Kousky, Carolyn & Kopp, Robert E. & Cooke, Roger, 2011. "Risk premia and the social cost of carbon: A review," Economics Discussion Papers 2011-19, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  11. Cooke, Roger M. & Kelly, G.N., 2010. "Climate Change Uncertainty Quantification: Lessons Learned from the Joint EU-USNRC Project on Uncertainty Analysis of Probabilistic Accident Consequence Codes," RFF Working Paper Series dp-10-29, Resources for the Future.
  12. Kousky, Carolyn & Cooke, Roger, 2009. "Climate Change and Risk Management: Challenges for Insurance, Adaptation, and Loss Estimation," RFF Working Paper Series dp-09-03-rev, Resources for the Future.
  13. Kousky, Carolyn & Cooke, Roger M., 2009. "The Unholy Trinity: Fat Tails, Tail Dependence, and Micro-Correlations," RFF Working Paper Series dp-09-36-rev.pdf, Resources for the Future.

Articles

  1. Roger M. Cooke, 2023. "Averaging quantiles, variance shrinkage, and overconfidence," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(1), March.
  2. Kevin Rennert & Frank Errickson & Brian C. Prest & Lisa Rennels & Richard G. Newell & William Pizer & Cora Kingdon & Jordan Wingenroth & Roger Cooke & Bryan Parthum & David Smith & Kevin Cromar & Dela, 2022. "Comprehensive evidence implies a higher social cost of CO2," Nature, Nature, vol. 610(7933), pages 687-692, October.
  3. Cooke, Roger M. & Marti, Deniz & Mazzuchi, Thomas, 2021. "Expert forecasting with and without uncertainty quantification and weighting: What do the data say?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 378-387.
  4. Roger M. Cooke & Harry Joe & Bo Chang, 2020. "Vine copula regression for observational studies," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 104(2), pages 141-167, June.
  5. Roger Cooke & Alexander Golub, 2020. "Market-based methods for monetizing uncertainty reduction," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 3-13, March.
  6. Abigail R Colson & Itamar Megiddo & Gerardo Alvarez-Uria & Sumanth Gandra & Tim Bedford & Alec Morton & Roger M Cooke & Ramanan Laxminarayan, 2019. "Quantifying uncertainty about future antimicrobial resistance: Comparing structured expert judgment and statistical forecasting methods," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(7), pages 1-18, July.
  7. Roger M Cooke & Bruce Wielicki, 2018. "Probabilistic reasoning about measurements of equilibrium climate sensitivity: combining disparate lines of evidence," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 541-554, December.
  8. Abigail R Colson & Roger M Cooke, 2018. "Expert Elicitation: Using the Classical Model to Validate Experts’ Judgments," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 12(1), pages 113-132.
  9. A. M. Hanea & G. F. Nane & B. A. Wielicki & R. M. Cooke, 2018. "Bayesian networks for identifying incorrect probabilistic intuitions in a climate trend uncertainty quantification context," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(9), pages 1146-1161, September.
  10. Roger Cooke & Alexander Golub & Bruce A. Wielicki & David F. Young & Martin G. Mlynczak & Rosemary R. Baize, 2017. "Using the social cost of carbon to value earth observing systems," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 330-345, April.
  11. Werner, Christoph & Bedford, Tim & Cooke, Roger M. & Hanea, Anca M. & Morales-Nápoles, Oswaldo, 2017. "Expert judgement for dependence in probabilistic modelling: A systematic literature review and future research directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 258(3), pages 801-819.
  12. Colson, Abigail R. & Cooke, Roger M., 2017. "Cross validation for the classical model of structured expert judgment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 109-120.
  13. Michael Oppenheimer & Christopher M. Little & Roger M. Cooke, 2016. "Expert judgement and uncertainty quantification for climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(5), pages 445-451, May.
  14. Cooke Roger M. & Saatchi Sassan & Hagen Stephen, 2016. "Global correlation and uncertainty accounting," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 1-6, September.
  15. W P Aspinall & R M Cooke & A H Havelaar & S Hoffmann & T Hald, 2016. "Evaluation of a Performance-Based Expert Elicitation: WHO Global Attribution of Foodborne Diseases," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(3), pages 1-14, March.
  16. Roger M. Cooke, 2015. "Messaging climate change uncertainty," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(1), pages 8-10, January.
  17. Roger M. Cooke, 2015. "The Aggregation of Expert Judgment: Do Good Things Come to Those Who Weight?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(1), pages 12-15, January.
  18. Cooke, R.M. & Kurowicka, D. & Wilson, K., 2015. "Sampling, conditionalizing, counting, merging, searching regular vines," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 4-18.
  19. T. Ganguly & K. J. Wilson & J. Quigley & R. M. Cooke & Alessandra Babuscia & Kar-Ming Cheung, 2014. "Reaction to ‘An approach to perform expert elicitation for engineering design risk analysis: methodology and experimental results’," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 177(4), pages 981-985, October.
  20. Patrycja L. Gradowska & Roger M. Cooke, 2014. "Estimating expected value of information using Bayesian belief networks: a case study in fish consumption advisory," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 88-97, March.
  21. Roger Cooke & Bruce A. Wielicki & David F. Young & Martin G. Mlynczak, 2014. "Value of information for climate observing systems," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 98-109, March.
  22. Roger Cooke, 2013. "Uncertainty analysis comes to integrated assessment models for climate change…and conversely," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 117(3), pages 467-479, April.
  23. Halpern, Benjamin S. & Longo, Catherine & McLeod, Karen L. & Cooke, Roger & Fischhoff, Baruch & Samhouri, Jameal F. & Scarborough, Courtney, 2013. "Elicited preferences for components of ocean health in the California Current," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 68-73.
  24. R. M. Cooke, 2013. "Quantifying uncertainty on thin ice," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(4), pages 311-312, April.
  25. Daniele Canzio & Maofu Liao & Nariman Naber & Edward Pate & Adam Larson & Shenping Wu & Diana B. Marina & Jennifer F. Garcia & Hiten D. Madhani & Roger Cooke & Peter Schuck & Yifan Cheng & Geeta J. Na, 2013. "A conformational switch in HP1 releases auto-inhibition to drive heterochromatin assembly," Nature, Nature, vol. 496(7445), pages 377-381, April.
  26. Carolyn Kousky & Roger Cooke, 2012. "Explaining the Failure to Insure Catastrophic Risks," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 37(2), pages 206-227, April.
  27. Gradowska, P.L. & Cooke, R.M., 2012. "Least squares type estimation for Cox regression model and specification error," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(7), pages 2288-2302.
  28. David Cooley & Christopher Galik & Thomas Holmes & Carolyn Kousky & Roger Cooke, 2012. "Managing dependencies in forest offset projects: toward a more complete evaluation of reversal risk," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 17-24, January.
  29. Kousky, Carolyn & Kopp, Robert E. & Cooke, Roger M., 2011. "Risk premia and the social cost of carbon: A review," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 5, pages 1-24.
  30. Roger M. Cooke, 2011. "Response to Conundrums Letter," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(1), pages 5-6, January.
  31. R. E. J. Neslo & R. M. Cooke, 2011. "Modeling and validating stakeholder preferences with probabilistic inversion," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 27(2), pages 115-130, March.
  32. Hanea, A.M. & Kurowicka, D. & Cooke, R.M. & Ababei, D.A., 2010. "Mining and visualising ordinal data with non-parametric continuous BBNs," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 668-687, March.
  33. Roger M. Cooke, 2010. "Response to Reviewers," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(3), pages 353-353, March.
  34. Arie H Havelaar & Floor van Rosse & Catalin Bucura & Milou A Toetenel & Juanita A Haagsma & Dorota Kurowicka & J (Hans) A P Heesterbeek & Niko Speybroeck & Merel F M Langelaar & Johanna W B van der Gi, 2010. "Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 5(11), pages 1-9, November.
  35. Roger Cooke, 2010. "Conundrums with Uncertainty Factors," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(3), pages 330-339, March.
  36. Dorota Kurowicka & Catalin Bucura & Roger Cooke & Arie Havelaar, 2010. "Probabilistic Inversion in Priority Setting of Emerging Zoonoses," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(5), pages 715-723, May.
  37. Dorota Kurowicka & Maarten Nauta & Katarzyna Jozwiak & Roger Cooke, 2010. "Updating Parameters of the Chicken Processing Line Model," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(6), pages 934-944, June.
  38. Ale, B.J.M. & Bellamy, L.J. & van der Boom, R. & Cooper, J. & Cooke, R.M. & Goossens, L.H.J. & Hale, A.R. & Kurowicka, D. & Morales, O. & Roelen, A.L.C. & Spouge, J., 2009. "Further development of a Causal model for Air Transport Safety (CATS): Building the mathematical heart," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(9), pages 1433-1441.
  39. Lisa R. Racki & Janet G. Yang & Nariman Naber & Peretz D. Partensky & Ashley Acevedo & Thomas J. Purcell & Roger Cooke & Yifan Cheng & Geeta J. Narlikar, 2009. "The chromatin remodeller ACF acts as a dimeric motor to space nucleosomes," Nature, Nature, vol. 462(7276), pages 1016-1021, December.
  40. Radboud J. Duintjer Tebbens & Kimberly M. Thompson & M. G. Myriam Hunink & Thomas A. Mazzuchi & Daniel Lewandowski & Dorota Kurowicka & Roger M. Cooke, 2008. "Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analyses of a Dynamic Economic Evaluation Model for Vaccination Programs," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 28(2), pages 182-200, March.
  41. Roger M. Cooke & Margaret MacDonell, 2008. "Regulating Under Uncertainty: Newsboy for Exposure Limits," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(3), pages 577-587, June.
  42. Cooke, Roger M. & ElSaadany, Susie & Huang, Xinzheng, 2008. "On the performance of social network and likelihood-based expert weighting schemes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(5), pages 745-756.
  43. Cooke, Roger M. & Goossens, Louis L.H.J., 2008. "TU Delft expert judgment data base," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(5), pages 657-674.
  44. Cooke, R. & Cripps, A. & Irwin, A. & Kolokotroni, M., 2007. "Alternative energy technologies in buildings: Stakeholder perceptions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(14), pages 2320-2333.
  45. Kurowicka, D. & Cooke, R.M., 2007. "Sampling algorithms for generating joint uniform distributions using the vine-copula method," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(6), pages 2889-2906, March.
  46. Cooke, Roger M. & Nauta, Maarten & Havelaar, Arie H. & van der Fels, Ine, 2006. "Probabilistic inversion for chicken processing lines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 91(10), pages 1364-1372.
  47. Du, C. & Kurowicka, D. & Cooke, R.M., 2006. "Techniques for generic probabilistic inversion," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(5), pages 1164-1187, March.
  48. H. J. Van der Fels‐Klerx & Roger M. Cooke & Maarten N. Nauta & Louis H. Goossens & Arie H. Havelaar, 2005. "A Structured Expert Judgment Study for a Model of Campylobacter Transmission During Broiler‐Chicken Processing," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(1), pages 109-124, February.
  49. Bunea, C. & Charitos, T. & Cooke, R.M. & Becker, G., 2005. "Two-stage Bayesian models—application to ZEDB project," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 123-130.
  50. Cooke, Roger M. & Bosma, Atze & Harte, Frank, 2005. "A practical model of Heineken's bottle filling line with dependent failures," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 164(2), pages 491-504, July.
  51. Kristin Shrader‐Frechette & Roger Cooke, 2004. "Ethics and Choosing Appropriate Means to an End: Problems with Coal Mine and Nuclear Workplace Safety," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(1), pages 147-156, February.
  52. Motomasa Tanaka & Peter Chien & Nariman Naber & Roger Cooke & Jonathan S. Weissman, 2004. "Conformational variations in an infectious protein determine prion strain differences," Nature, Nature, vol. 428(6980), pages 323-328, March.
  53. Kimberly M. Thompson & R. Frank Rabouw & Roger M. Cooke, 2001. "The Risk of Groundling Fatalities from Unintentional Airplane Crashes," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 21(6), pages 1025-1038, December.
  54. Sarah Rice & Abel W. Lin & Daniel Safer & Cynthia L. Hart & Nariman Naber & Bridget O. Carragher & Shane M. Cain & Elena Pechatnikova & Elizabeth M. Wilson-Kubalek & Michael Whittaker & Edward Pate & , 1999. "A structural change in the kinesin motor protein that drives motility," Nature, Nature, vol. 402(6763), pages 778-784, December.
  55. Bedford, Tim & Cooke, Roger, 1999. "A new generic model for applying MAUT," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 118(3), pages 589-604, November.
  56. Roger Cooke & Eric Jager, 1998. "A Probabilistic Model for the Failure Frequency of Underground Gas Pipelines," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(4), pages 511-527, August.
  57. L.H.J. Goossens & R.M. Cooke & F Woudenberg & P Van Der Torn, 1998. "Expert judgement and lethal toxicity of inhaled chemicals," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 117-133, April.
  58. van Noortwijk, Jan M. & Cooke, Roger M. & Kok, Matthijs, 1995. "A Bayesian failure model based on isotropic deterioration," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 82(2), pages 270-282, April.
  59. A. Dawid & M. DeGroot & J. Mortera & R. Cooke & S. French & C. Genest & M. Schervish & D. Lindley & K. McConway & R. Winkler, 1995. "Coherent combination of experts' opinions," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 4(2), pages 263-313, December.
  60. Cooke, Roger M., 1993. "The total time on test statistic and age-dependent censoring," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 307-312, November.
  61. Bhola, B. & Cooke, R. M. & Blaauw, H. G. & Kok, M., 1992. "Expert opinion in project management," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 24-31, February.
  62. Lootsma, F. A. & Boonekamp, P. G. M. & Cooke, R. M. & Van Oostvoorn, F., 1990. "Choice of a long-term strategy for the national electricity supply via scenario analysis and multi-criteria analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 189-203, September.
  63. Roger M. Cooke & Rudi Waij, 1986. "Monte Carlo Sampling for Generalized Knowledge Dependence with Application to Human Reliability," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(3), pages 335-343, September.
  64. Roger M. Cooke, 1986. "Problems with Empirical Bayes," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(3), pages 269-272, September.
  65. Roger M. Cooke, 1984. "Price—Anderson Revisited," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 4(3), pages 155-155, September.

Chapters

  1. Deniz Marti & Thomas A. Mazzuchi & Roger M. Cooke, 2021. "Are Performance Weights Beneficial? Investigating the Random Expert Hypothesis," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Anca M. Hanea & Gabriela F. Nane & Tim Bedford & Simon French (ed.), Expert Judgement in Risk and Decision Analysis, chapter 0, pages 53-82, Springer.
  2. Roger M. Cooke, 2021. "A Number of Things," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Anca M. Hanea & Gabriela F. Nane & Tim Bedford & Simon French (ed.), Expert Judgement in Risk and Decision Analysis, chapter 0, pages 199-213, Springer.
  3. John Quigley & Abigail Colson & Willy Aspinall & Roger M. Cooke, 2018. "Elicitation in the Classical Model," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Luis C. Dias & Alec Morton & John Quigley (ed.), Elicitation, chapter 0, pages 15-36, Springer.
  4. Roger M. Cooke, 2018. "Validation in the Classical Model," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Luis C. Dias & Alec Morton & John Quigley (ed.), Elicitation, chapter 0, pages 37-59, Springer.
  5. Carolyn Kousky & Roger M. Cooke, 2012. "The Value of Information in a Risk Management Approach to Climate Change," Springer Books, in: Ramanan Laxminarayan & Molly K. Macauley (ed.), The Value of Information, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 19-43, Springer.
  6. Roger M. Cooke & Carolyn Kousky & Harry Joe, 2010. "Micro Correlations and Tail Dependence," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Dorota Kurowicka & Harry Joe (ed.), Dependence Modeling Vine Copula Handbook, chapter 5, pages 89-112, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  7. Roger M. Cooke & Harry Joe & Kjersti Aas, 2010. "Vines Arise," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Dorota Kurowicka & Harry Joe (ed.), Dependence Modeling Vine Copula Handbook, chapter 3, pages 37-71, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  8. Harry Joe & Roger M. Cooke & Dorota Kurowicka, 2010. "Regular Vines: Generation Algorithm and Number of Equivalence Classes," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Dorota Kurowicka & Harry Joe (ed.), Dependence Modeling Vine Copula Handbook, chapter 10, pages 219-231, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  9. Roger M. Cooke, 2009. "Obtaining Distributions from Groups for Decisions Under Uncertainty," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Terry M. Williams & Knut Samset & Kjell J. Sunnevåg (ed.), Making Essential Choices with Scant Information, chapter 13, pages 257-276, Palgrave Macmillan.

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 10 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (8) 2009-12-19 2010-01-16 2010-05-29 2011-01-30 2011-06-25 2011-08-02 2014-05-09 2023-05-22. Author is listed
  2. NEP-ENV: Environmental Economics (7) 2009-12-19 2010-05-29 2011-06-25 2011-08-02 2014-05-09 2016-07-09 2023-05-22. Author is listed
  3. NEP-IAS: Insurance Economics (3) 2009-12-19 2010-01-16 2011-06-25
  4. NEP-AGR: Agricultural Economics (1) 2014-05-09
  5. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (1) 2012-01-03
  6. NEP-EUR: Microeconomic European Issues (1) 2010-05-29
  7. NEP-GTH: Game Theory (1) 2011-06-25
  8. NEP-REG: Regulation (1) 2011-01-30
  9. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (1) 2009-12-19
  10. NEP-UPT: Utility Models and Prospect Theory (1) 2011-08-02

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