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Detection And Prediction Of Managerial Fraud In The Financial Statements Of Tunisian Banks

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  • Salem Lotfi Boumediene

Abstract

This article models the detection and prediction of managerial fraud in the financial statements of Tunisian banks. The methodology used consist of examining a battery of financial ratios used by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) as indicators of the financial situation of a bank. We test the predictive power of these ratios using logistic regression. The results show that we can detect managerial fraud in the financial statements of Tunisian banks using performance ratios three years before its occurrence with a classification rate of 71.1%.

Suggested Citation

  • Salem Lotfi Boumediene, 2014. "Detection And Prediction Of Managerial Fraud In The Financial Statements Of Tunisian Banks," Accounting & Taxation, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 6(2), pages 1-10.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibf:acttax:v:6:y:2014:i:2:p:1-10
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Patricia M. Dechow & Richard G. Sloan & Amy P. Sweeney, 1996. "Causes and Consequences of Earnings Manipulation: An Analysis of Firms Subject to Enforcement Actions by the SEC," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 13(1), pages 1-36, March.
    2. Richard B. Carter & Roger D. Stover, 1991. "Management Ownership and Firm Compensation Policy: Evidence From Converting Savings and Loan Associations," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 20(4), Winter.
    3. Carcello, Jv & Palmrose, Zv, 1994. "Auditor Litigation And Modified Reporting On Bankrupt Clients," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32, pages 1-30.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wilson Tsakane Mongwe & Rendani Mbuvha & Tshilidzi Marwala, 2021. "Bayesian inference of local government audit outcomes," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(12), pages 1-19, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fraud; Ratio; Financial Statements; Bank; Detection; Prevention; Logistic Regression Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting
    • M42 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Auditing
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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