This project was made by me when I was quarantined in my college campus after testing positive. This was an attempt to predict how long would I be locked down in my campus room.
kar 1: Was sad and wanted to see how our campus' curve looked. Gathered data from medical bulletins and plotted.
kar 2: Thought the curve had reached its peak. Thought of comparing it with various states (rajyas) of Bhaarata and Bhaarata. Used data from https://www.covid19india.org/
kar 3: Not much was visible to the naked eye. Decided to quantify. Found rolling mean (or moving average is a technique to smoothen noisy courves) of the rajya curves.
kar 4: Quantified the closeness of kgp's (my college's) curve with various rajya's curves. (lower the better)
kar 5: Took the 3 closest curves, and used their die-out period to predict kgp curve's die-out period
Only time will tell how my prediction ages. Considering the uptrend for the overall country, I believe my first fundamental assumption that peak has been reached might be proved wrong. :')