Historical results of NBA draft projection model, 2001-2015.
| Header | Definition |
|---|---|
Player |
Player name |
Position |
The player's position going into the draft |
ID |
The player's identification code |
Draft Year |
The year the player was eligible for the NBA draft |
Projected SPM |
The model's projected statistical plus/minus over years 2-5 of the player's NBA career |
Superstar |
Probability of becoming a superstar player (1 per draft, SPM >= +3.3) |
Starter |
Probability of becoming a starting-caliber player (10 per draft, SPM >= +0.5) |
Role Player |
Probability of becoming a role player (25 per draft, SPM >= -1.4) |
Bust |
Probability of becoming a bust (everyone else, SPM < -1.4) |
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/projecting-the-top-50-players-in-the-2015-nba-draft-class/