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NFL Elo

This file contains links to the data behind The Complete History Of The NFL and our NFL Predictions.

nfl_elo.csv contains game-by-game Elo ratings and forecasts back to 1920. nfl_elo_latest.csv contains game-by-game Elo ratings and forecasts for only the latest season.

Column Definition
date Date of game
season Year of season
neutral Whether game was on a neutral site
playoff Whether game was in playoffs, and the playoff round if so
team1 Abbreviation for home team
team2 Abbreviation for away team
elo1_pre Home team's Elo rating before the game
elo2_pre Away team's Elo rating before the game
elo_prob1 Home team's probability of winning according to Elo ratings
elo_prob2 Away team's probability of winning according to Elo ratings
elo1_post Home team's Elo rating after the game
elo2_post Away team's Elo rating after the game
qbelo1_pre Home team's quarterback-adjusted base rating before the game
qbelo2_pre Away team's quarterback-adjusted base rating before the game
qb1 Name of home starting quarterback
qb2 Name of away starting quarterback
qb1_value_pre Home starting quarterbacks's raw Elo value before the game
qb2_value_pre Away starting quarterbacks's raw Elo value before the game
qb1_adj Home starting quarterbacks's Elo adjustment for the game
qb2_adj Away starting quarterbacks's Elo adjustment for the game
qbelo_prob1 Home team's probability of winning according to quarterback-adjusted Elo
qbelo_prob2 Away team's probability of winning according to quarterback-adjusted Elo
qb1_game_value Home quarterback's Elo value during this game
qb2_game_value Away quarterback's Elo value during this game
qb1_value_post Home starting quarterbacks's raw Elo value after the game
qb2_value_post Away starting quarterbacks's raw Elo value after the game
qbelo1_post Home team's quarterback-adjusted base rating after the game
qbelo2_post Away team's quarterback-adjusted base rating after the game
score1 Home team's score
score2 Away team's score