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Sweden exception to general intervention effects #104

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jscire opened this issue May 12, 2020 · 0 comments
Open

Sweden exception to general intervention effects #104

jscire opened this issue May 12, 2020 · 0 comments

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@jscire
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jscire commented May 12, 2020

Congratulations for the awesome work on this project.

As confirmed by email by Seth Flaxman, the effect of the ban on public events on R(t) in Sweden is much higher than it is for other countries. The reason for this does not seem to be documented.
How does this work in your method?
Are there other exceptions (besides country-specific lockdown effects) to the rule that interventions have an identical impact in all the countries studied?

Here the R(t) timeline with the minor effect of the ban on public events in Switzerland
image

And here the major effect (similar to a lockdown) in Sweden
image

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