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2011 Danish general election

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2011 Danish general election
Danish Realm
← 2007 15 September 2011 2015 →
All 179 seats in the Folketing
90 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
Elected in Denmark
Venstre Lars Løkke Rasmussen 26.73 47 +1
Social Democrats Helle Thorning-Schmidt 24.81 44 −1
DPP Pia Kjærsgaard 12.32 22 −3
Social Liberals Margrethe Vestager 9.50 17 +8
SF Villy Søvndal 9.20 16 −7
Red–Green Collective leadership 6.68 12 +8
Liberal Alliance Anders Samuelsen 4.98 9 +4
Conservatives Lars Barfoed 4.94 8 −10
Elected in the Faroe Islands
Union Kaj Leo Johannesen 30.77 1 0
Social Democratic Aksel V. Johannesen 20.95 1 +1
Elected in Greenland
Inuit Ataqatigiit Kuupik Kleist 42.61 1 0
Siumut Aleqa Hammond 37.22 1 0
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Prime Minister before Prime Minister after
Lars Løkke Rasmussen
Venstre		 Helle Thorning-Schmidt
Social Democrats
Campaign posters outside Christiansborg Palace (seat of the Folketing) on the day of the election.

General elections were held in Denmark on 15 September 2011 to elect the 179 members of the Folketing. Of those 179, 175 members were elected in Denmark, two in the Faroe Islands and two in Greenland.

The incumbent centre-right coalition led by Venstre lost power to a centre-left coalition led by the Social Democrats making Helle Thorning-Schmidt the country's first female Prime Minister. The Social Liberal Party and the Socialist People's Party became part of the three-party government. The new parliament convened on 4 October, the first Tuesday of the month.

Background

Anders Fogh Rasmussen, who had been re-elected Prime Minister following the 2007 parliamentary election, resigned on 5 April 2009 to become the Secretary General of NATO in August. Polls indicated a preference for early elections over simply having Finance Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen take over as PM; the Social Democrats' Helle Thorning-Schmidt was also suggested as the preferred candidate for PM.[1] However, Pia Kjærsgaard, the leader of the Danish People's Party, had reiterated the DPP's continued support for the government, previously avoiding a new election and making Rasmussen the PM within the existing parliament.[2] However, when Rasmussen resigned that support became moot.

Date

According to the Danish Constitution, the election had to take place no later than 12 November 2011 since the last Danish election was held on 13 November 2007. The prime minister can call the election at any date, provided it is no later than four years from the previous election. Danish media and political commentators speculated about the timing of the election since Rasmussen took office as Prime Minister in April 2009. The election was called on 26 August 2011, after heavy media speculation.[citation needed]

MPs not seeking re-election

The following had as of March 2010 announced that they would not seek re-election.[3]

Retired MPs

Contesting parties

Party Letter Leader
Denmark proper
Venstre V Lars Løkke Rasmussen
Social Democrats (Socialdemokraterne) A Helle Thorning-Schmidt
Danish People's Party (Dansk Folkeparti) O Pia Kjærsgaard
Danish Social Liberal Party (Det Radikale Venstre) B Margrethe Vestager
Socialist People's Party (Socialistisk Folkeparti) F Villy Søvndal
Red-Green Alliance (Enhedslisten) Ø Collective leadership
Liberal Alliance I Anders Samuelsen
Conservative People's Party (Det Konservative Folkeparti) C Lars Barfoed
Christian Democrats (Kristendemokraterne) K Per Ørum Jørgensen
Faroe Islands
Union Party (Sambandsflokkurin) B Kaj Leo Johannesen
Social Democratic Party (Javnaðarflokkurin) C Aksel Johannesen
Republic (Tjóðveldi) E Høgni Hoydal
People's Party (Fólkaflokkurin) A Jørgen Niclasen
Centre Party (Miðflokkurin) H Jenis av Rana
Self-Government Party (Sjálvstýrisflokkurin) D Kári á Rógvu
Greenland
Inuit Ataqatigiit Kuupik Kleist
Siumut Aleqa Hammond
Democrats (Demokraatit) Jens B. Frederiksen
Atassut Finn Karlsen

Coalitions

The former Prime Minister, Lars Løkke Rasmussen, led a centre-right minority government consisting of the Liberal Party and the Conservative People's Party. This coalition government worked with regular parliamentary support from the national conservative Danish People's Party and often gained the necessary 90th seat for a majority in the Folketing through negotiations with the sole MP from the Christian Democrats Ørum-Jørgensen[4] and independent MP Christmas Møller, both elected in 2007 as conservative MPs and since having defected.

Since the 2007 election, the Liberal Alliance (previously Ny Alliance) had gained momentum in opinion polls, and since early 2010, the governing coalition had not been able to gather a majority in the polls without the support of the Alliance. The continuing rise in the polls was to an extent the result of the internal crisis in the Conservative People's Party over the leadership Lene Espersen[5] and the continuing debate over a lack of true liberal/conservative ideology in government policy.[6]

On 13 January, the continuing turmoil within the Conservative group in the Folketing caused Lene Espersen to resign as political leader of the party and focus on her role as Minister of Foreign Affairs.[7] A leadership election between Brian Mikkelsen, the Minister of Economic and Business Affairs and Lars Barfoed, the Justice Minister, was widely expected,[8] but on 14 January the Conservative group in the Folketing unanimously elected Barfoed as their new political leader. He was formally elected as chairman of the party at a party convention within a few weeks.[9]

The Social Democrats, under the leadership of Helle Thorning-Schmidt, had enjoyed continuing majorities in opinion polls since late 2009 and hoped to form a centre-left government coalition consisting of the Socialist People's Party and the Social Liberal Party with parliamentary support from the small Red-Green Alliance.[10][11]

Both Margrethe Vestager (Social Liberal Party) and Villy Søvndal (Socialist People's Party) pledged their support to Thorning-Schmidt before the election.[12] But there has been considerable debate about the future politics of this coalition, mainly because the Social Liberal Party demands a more liberal economic agenda. Also on immigration issues there are political differences between the three coalition parties. This led some observers to believe that the Social Liberal Party would not join a government coalition but instead opt to be a part of the parliamentary support of a new, centre-left government.[13] In the event the Social Liberals did join the new three-party coalition government formed on 3 October.

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Date Source Venstre (V) Social Democrats (A) Danish People's Party (O) Socialist People's Party (F) Conservative People's Party (C) Social Liberal Party (B) Liberal Alliance (I) Red-Green Alliance (Ø) Christian Democrats (K) Government Opposition
2007 Election 13 Nov 2007 26.2% 25.5% 13.9% 13.0% 10.4% 5.1% 2.8% 2.2% 0.9% 53.3% 46.7%
Capacent 26 Feb 2010 [14] 22.1% 26.3% 14.5% 18.1% 11.6% 4.4% 0.7% 2.0% 0.3% 48.9% 50.8%
Capacent 31 Mar 2010 [14] 23.7% 26.7% 13.8% 17.2% 10.9% 4.6% 0.5% 2.2% 0.3% 48.9% 50.7%
Greens 7 Jan 2011 [15] 21.6% 29.2% 14.6% 13.0% 4.5% 7.5% 5.8% 3.2% 0.4% 46.5% 52.9%
Gallup 7 Jan 2011 [16] 24.3% 31.3% 12.2% 12.7% 6.0% 5.5% 4.3% 2.9% 0.8% 46.8% 52.4%
YouGov 12 Jan 2011 [17] 21.8% 26.4% 13.5% 15.2% 4.4% 6.2% 8.3% 4.0% 0.3% 48.0% 51.8%
Capacent 12 Jan 2011 [18] 23.1% 29.9% 13.0% 13.0% 5.9% 5.5% 4.3% 4.8% 0.3% 46.3% 53.2%
Gallup 14 Jan 2011 [19] 24.6% 28.6% 13.0% 14.9% 5.7% 5.8% 4.0% 2.9% 0.5% 47.3% 52.2%
Voxmeter 16 Jan 2011 [19] 22.9% 31.1% 11.8% 12.3% 5.7% 5.6% 6.3% 3.7% 0.0% 46.6% 52.7%
Greens 21 Jan 2011 [20] 22.6% 29.5% 11.6% 14.2% 6.5% 6.5% 5.4% 2.7% 0.4% 46.1% 52.9%
Gallup 24 Jan 2011 [19] 23.9% 27.6% 14.0% 13.8% 4.9% 7.3% 4.7% 2.7% 0.8% 47.5% 51.4%
Greens 4 Feb 2011 [21] 21.3% 31.2% 12.3% 15.6% 5.4% 5.6% 4.4% 3.3% 0.6% 43.4% 55.7%
Berlingske 10 Sep 2011 [22] 23.6% 25.5% 12.4% 11.1% 5.9% 9.3% 5.1% 6.4% 0.8% 47.8% 52.3%
Berlingske 10 Sep 2011 [23] 23.0% 25.0% 13.6% 9.8% 5.0% 10.0% 5.4% 7.2% 0.9% 47.9% 52.0%
Berlingske 12 Sep 2011 [22] 23.8% 25.3% 12.3% 10.7% 5.8% 9.5% 5.2% 6.5% 0.8% 47.9% 52.0%

Results

Largest party within each nomination district and constituency.
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Denmark proper
Venstre947,72526.7347+1
Social Democrats879,61524.8144−1
Danish People's Party436,72612.3222−3
Danish Social Liberal Party336,6989.5017+8
Socialist People's Party326,1929.2016−7
Red–Green Alliance236,8606.6812+8
Liberal Alliance176,5854.989+4
Conservative People's Party175,0474.948−10
Christian Democrats28,0700.7900
Independents1,8500.0500
Total3,545,368100.001750
Valid votes3,545,36899.04
Invalid/blank votes34,3070.96
Total votes3,579,675100.00
Registered voters/turnout4,079,91087.74
Faroe Islands
Union Party6,36230.7710
Social Democratic Party4,33220.951+1
Republic3,99519.320−1
People's Party3,93519.0300
Centre Party8754.2300
Self-Government4832.3400
Independents6923.3500
Total20,674100.0020
Valid votes20,67498.62
Invalid/blank votes2901.38
Total votes20,964100.00
Registered voters/turnout35,04759.82
Greenland
Inuit Ataqatigiit9,58742.6110
Siumut8,37437.2210
Democrats2,83112.5800
Atassut1,7067.5800
Total22,498100.0020
Valid votes22,49895.55
Invalid/blank votes1,0484.45
Total votes23,546100.00
Registered voters/turnout40,93757.52
Source: Danmarks Statistik

Reactions

Helle Thorning-Schmidt told a group of supporters: "We did it. Make no mistake: We have written history. Today there’s a change of guards in Denmark." Incumbent Prime Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen congratulated Thorning-Schmidt after conceding defeat: "So tonight I hand over the keys to the prime minister’s office to Helle Thorning-Schmidt. And dear Helle, take good care of them. You’re only borrowing them."[24]

The Copenhagen Stock Exchange did not react adversely despite a fear of increased public spending and higher taxes because the election result was largely expected.[25]

Analysis

The result was seen as leading to a possible roll back of some austerity programmes initiated by the previous government amidst the European sovereign debt crisis.[citation needed] The new majority for the leftist block deprived the Danish People's Party of the kingmaker role it held under the previous government and used to tighten Danish immigrations policy. However, fundamental changes were not expected, as the Danish political consensus would maintain the welfare system in Denmark that is financed by high taxes.[24] The state of the economy was also seen as a key factor for the anti-incumbent vote.

Danish newspapers such as Berlingske also asked if a Red Bloc coalition could survive its tenure with the "sharp differences between [the] parties." It wrote that "with a parliamentary basis consisting of parties in deep mutual dispute over the most important questions in society, the election victory last night could turn out to be a short-lived triumph for Thorning-Schmidt."[25]

Government formation

Though the Liberal Party remained the single largest party with the addition of one seat and the Social Democrats lost a seat, a three-party coalition of opposition parties together with the supporting Red-Green Alliance had a larger share of seats than the incumbent liberal-conservative coalition with support of the Danish People's Party.[26] Prime Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen then tendered the cabinet's resignation to Queen Margrethe II on 16 September,[27] following which she met with the various parties and tasked Social Democrat leader Helle Thorning-Schmidt with the formation of a new government.[25] Rasmussen's cabinet would remain in office as a caretaker government until 3 October, when Thorning-Schmidt's cabinet, announced on 2 October, would be sworn in making her the country's first ever female Prime Minister.[24] The Social Liberal Party and the Socialist People's Party also became a part of the governing coalition.[28] The new parliament, by law, convened on the first Tuesday in October.[citation needed]

See also

References

  1. ^ "Danes Want Election if Rasmussen Steps Down | Angus Reid Public Opinion". Angus-reid.com. 22 February 2009. Archived from the original on 16 April 2009. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  2. ^ DF siger god for Løkke som statsminister (16 February 2009) (in Danish). Politiken.
  3. ^ De bliver valgt ved folketingsvalg nu Altinget.dk 6. marts 2003
  4. ^ "Kristendemokraterne vil med i finansloven" (in Danish). Politiken.dk. 26 July 2011. Archived from the original on 11 January 2012. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  5. ^ "Lene Espersens krise smitter af på Løkke - Politiko | www.b.dk". Berlingske.dk. Archived from the original on 22 July 2012. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  6. ^ Af Uffe Tang og Christian Brøndum. "Liberal Alliance redder regeringen - Politiko | www.b.dk". Berlingske.dk. Archived from the original on 25 December 2010. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  7. ^ Af Lene Frøslev (13 January 2011). ""Det er den rigtige beslutning" - Politiko | www.b.dk". Berlingske.dk. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  8. ^ Af Morten Henriksen og Chris Kjær Jessen. "Både Barfoed og Brian vil afløse Lene - Politiko | www.b.dk". Berlingske.dk. Archived from the original on 16 January 2011. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  9. ^ Af Louise Lyck Dreehsen (14 January 2011). "Barfoed taler til pressen - Politiko | www.b.dk". Berlingske.dk. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  10. ^ "Rød dominans - Politik" (in Danish). BT.dk. 13 June 2010. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  11. ^ "Greens: Markant rødt flertal - dr.dk/Nyheder/Politik". Dr.dk. 2 December 2010. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  12. ^ "Vestager peger på Helle Thorning". Borsen.dk. 20 October 2008. Archived from the original on 19 July 2011. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  13. ^ "Radikale med i regering - hvis ... - dr.dk/Nyheder/Politik". Dr.dk. 19 August 2010. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  14. ^ a b "Fortsat flertal til Thorning - dr.dk/Nyheder/Politik". Dr.dk. 2 April 2010. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  15. ^ Morten Stryhn (7 January 2011). "Konservative i historisk nedsmeltning". Borsen.dk. Archived from the original on 29 September 2011. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  16. ^ "Se Gallup-målingen her - Politiko | www.b.dk". Berlingske.dk. Archived from the original on 10 January 2011. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  17. ^ Thomas Ambrosius. "De Konservative er spillet af brættet – metroXpress". Metroxpress.dk. Archived from the original on 15 January 2011. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  18. ^ "Blokke står uændret efter efterlønsdebat - dr.dk/Nyheder/Politik". Dr.dk. 12 January 2011. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  19. ^ a b c "Seneste nyt om politik - politiken.dk Læs seneste nyt om dansk politik og EU på politiken.dk. Nyheder fra Christiansborg, kommuner, regioner og Bruxelles" (in Danish). Politiken.dk. Archived from the original on 3 August 2011. Retrieved 8 August 2011.
  20. ^ "Vælgerne straffer Pia Kjærsgaard". Borsen.dk. 21 January 2011. Archived from the original on 19 July 2011. Retrieved 16 September 2011.
  21. ^ "Thorning sender blå blok til tælling". Borsen.dk. 4 February 2011. Archived from the original on 29 September 2011. Retrieved 16 September 2011.
  22. ^ a b "Meningsmåling, politik, partier - Berlingske Barometer". b.dk. Retrieved 16 September 2011.
  23. ^ https://www.b.dk/ /
  24. ^ a b c "Denmark to get 1st female PM after left wins vote", Dawn, 16 September 2011, retrieved 5 October 2011
  25. ^ a b c Fraende, Mette; Gaunt, Jeremy (17 September 2011), "Denmark elects first female PM", The Gazette (Montreal), retrieved 5 October 2011[permanent dead link‍]
  26. ^ "Denmark: Right-wing government defeated, Red-Green Alliance triples seats | Links International Journal of Socialist Renewal".
  27. ^ "Danish PM tenders resignation to Queen". Archived from the original on 21 February 2014. Retrieved 4 October 2011.
  28. ^ Acher, John (1 October 2011). "Danish PM-elect seen unveiling govt Sunday -agency". Reuters.
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