Presidential voting trends in California

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A bellwether is any indicator or predictor of something. In presidential electoral politics, states may be considered bellwethers of future electoral outcomes because of how many times they have voted for the winning candidate or party. Below is an analysis of California's voting record in presidential elections from 1900 to 2024. The state's accuracy is based on the number of times the state has voted for the winning presidential candidate. The majority of statistical data is from the U.S. National Archives and Records Administration and compiled, here, by Ballotpedia, unless otherwise noted.

Presidential election voting record in California

See also: Presidential voting trends by state and Bellwether

Between 1900 and 2024, California participated in 32 presidential elections.

1900-2024

  • California voted for Kamala Harris (D) in the 2024 presidential election.
  • Between 1900 and 2024, California voted for the winning presidential candidate 78.1% of the time.
  • Between 2000 and 2024, California voted for the winning presidential candidate 42.9% of the time.
  • Since 1900, California has voted Democratic 50% of the time and Republican 46.9% of the time.
  • Since 2000, California has voted Democratic 100% of the time and Republican 0% of the time.

Split electoral votes

In 1912, Theodore Roosevelt (Progressive) won 11 electoral votes in California and Woodrow Wilson (D) received two.[1]

Third-party or alternative major party candidate votes

In 1912, Woodrow Wilson ran as the Democratic candidate, Theodore Roosevelt ran as a Progressive candidate, and William H. Taft ran as the Republican candidate. Taft won Utah and Vermont, while Roosevelt won 11 electoral votes (Wilson got two) from California, 15 from Michigan, 12 from Minnesota, 38 in Pennsylvania, five from South Dakota, and seven from Washington.[1]

Presidential voting history

California presidential election results (1900-2024)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Winning Party R R R P[2] D R R R D D D D D R R R D R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D

How has the presidential vote share for each party changed over time?

Democratic vote shares

Test your knowledge of how Democratic vote shares have changed over time in California, New York, and South Carolina. Click "Play" on the widget below to begin.

Republican vote shares

Test your knowledge of how Republican vote shares have changed over time in California, New York, and South Carolina. Click "Play" on the widget below to begin.

See also

Presidential election voting trends
Use the dropdown menu below to navigate Ballotpedia's coverage of presidential election voting trends in each state.
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Footnotes